The month ahead in Welsh Hook: daytime temperatures averaging +15.4° and +11.1° overnight — that is 2° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 6 days (around 16 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 54 mm. The warmest day should be 18 October (+18.1°), the coolest 22 October (+8.8°).
+15.4°/+11.1°
Average day / night
+2°
Above average
6 / 8
Wet days / normal
16 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+15.1°
+13.7°
+1.4°
17 October – 26 October
+16°
+12.8°
+3.2°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+12°
—
October records over 66 years
+19.5°10 October 2018All-time high
+0.8°30 October 2018All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — St Davids / Tyddewi (18.3 km away).
Thu, 08+10 ° /15 °0.5
+15 °
Welsh Hook, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1026 mb
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Fri, 09+12 ° /16 °4.9
+16 °
Welsh Hook, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind20 mph NW
Humidity84%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point12°C
Sat, 10+12 ° /13 °0.6
+13 °
Welsh Hook, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind19 mph W
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+10 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Welsh Hook, Sunday, 11 October
Mainly clear. High 13°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind13 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Mon, 12+11 ° /17 °4.8
+17 °
Welsh Hook, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind20 mph SE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point13°C
Tue, 13+12 ° /17 °1.4
+17 °
Welsh Hook, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind20 mph S
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point16°C
Wed, 14+11 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Welsh Hook, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind10 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Thu, 15+12 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Welsh Hook, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1029 mb
Wind13 mph SW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Fri, 16+12 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Welsh Hook, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind21 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Sat, 17+12 ° /16 °1
+16 °
Welsh Hook, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind24 mph S
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Sun, 18+11 ° /18 °1.9
+18 °
Welsh Hook, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 18°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind11 mph NE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Mon, 19+11 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Welsh Hook, Monday, 19 October
Clear sky. High 16°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind7 mph NE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Tue, 20+10 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Welsh Hook, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 16°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind5 mph E
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Wed, 21+10 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Welsh Hook, Wednesday, 21 October
Mainly clear. High 15°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1031 mb
Wind5 mph E
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Thu, 22+9 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Welsh Hook, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1028 mb
Wind7 mph E
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+10 ° /13 °3.2
+13 °
Welsh Hook, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low10°C
Average rainfall3.2 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+17° (2011)
Coldest on record+5° (1987)
Sat, 24+10 ° /13 °5.4
+13 °
Welsh Hook, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low10°C
Average rainfall5.4 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record+4° (2002)
Sun, 25+10 ° /13 °4
+13 °
Welsh Hook, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low10°C
Average rainfall4 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+16° (2006)
Coldest on record+5° (1981)
Mon, 26+10 ° /13 °3.5
+13 °
Welsh Hook, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low10°C
Average rainfall3.5 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+6° (1962)
Tue, 27+10 ° /13 °4.2
+13 °
Welsh Hook, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low10°C
Average rainfall4.2 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record+4° (2018)
Wed, 28+10 ° /13 °3.9
+13 °
Welsh Hook, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low10°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record+4° (2008)
Thu, 29+9 ° /12 °4
+12 °
Welsh Hook, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+16° (2022)
Coldest on record+2° (2018)
Fri, 30+10 ° /12 °4.4
+12 °
Welsh Hook, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low10°C
Average rainfall4.4 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (2018)
Sat, 31+10 ° /13 °5
+13 °
Welsh Hook, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low10°C
Average rainfall5 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record+5° (1966)
Sun, 01+9 ° /12 °4.3
+12 °
Welsh Hook, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+15° (2020)
Coldest on record+4° (2008)
Mon, 02+9 ° /12 °4.4
+12 °
Welsh Hook, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.4 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+4° (1986)
Tue, 03+9 ° /11 °3.8
+11 °
Welsh Hook, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+15° (1979)
Coldest on record+3° (1980)
Wed, 04+9 ° /11 °3
+11 °
Welsh Hook, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+15° (2010)
Coldest on record+4° (1968)
Thu, 05+9 ° /11 °3.5
+11 °
Welsh Hook, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3.5 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record+4° (1966)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Welsh Hook are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Welsh Hook since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.