As of 23:09 BST

Weather in Welburn

+8°

Welburn, Wednesday, 7 October, 23:09

Clear sky. Feels like 6°C. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind8 mph NW

Humidity84%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Welburn: daytime temperatures averaging +13.4° and +7° overnight — that is 0.1° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 6 days (around 44 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 31 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+18.4°), the coolest 22 October (+3.5°).

+13.4°/+7°

Average day / night

−0.1°

Below average

6 / 6

Wet days / normal

44 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+14.4°	+14°	+0.4°
17 October – 26 October	+11.8°	+12.6°	-0.8°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+11.5°	—

October records over 66 years

+25.3°1 October 2011All-time high

-3.5°29 October 1997All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Strensall (11.7 km away).

Thu, 08+5 ° /13 °

3.2

+13 °

Welburn, Thursday, 8 October

Rain. High 13°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind8 mph NW

Humidity59%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point4°C

Fri, 09+9 ° /15 °

4.3

+15 °

Welburn, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1004 mb

Wind12 mph W

Humidity88%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point13°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /12 °

+12 °

Welburn, Saturday, 10 October

Mainly clear. High 12°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind17 mph W

Humidity64%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Welburn, Sunday, 11 October

Partly cloudy. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind9 mph NW

Humidity64%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Mon, 12+5 ° /15 °

+15 °

Welburn, Monday, 12 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind13 mph S

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Tue, 13+9 ° /18 °

0.5

+18 °

Welburn, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind16 mph SW

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Wed, 14+7 ° /17 °

+17 °

Welburn, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 17°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind13 mph SW

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Thu, 15+7 ° /14 °

+14 °

Welburn, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind17 mph S

Humidity77%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Fri, 16+5 ° /13 °

+13 °

Welburn, Friday, 16 October

Partly cloudy. High 13°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind9 mph S

Humidity52%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Sat, 17+7 ° /12 °

14.5

+12 °

Welburn, Saturday, 17 October

Heavy rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind19 mph W

Humidity74%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Sun, 18+4 ° /12 °

+12 °

Welburn, Sunday, 18 October

Mainly clear. High 12°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind14 mph SW

Humidity48%

Visibility—

Dew point0°C

Mon, 19+9 ° /12 °

12.5

+12 °

Welburn, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1004 mb

Wind20 mph SW

Humidity93%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Tue, 20+9 ° /15 °

0.6

+15 °

Welburn, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind26 mph W

Humidity84%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Wed, 21+8 ° /11 °

0.5

+11 °

Welburn, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1001 mb

Wind26 mph W

Humidity55%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Thu, 22+4 ° /8 °

4.5

+8 °

Welburn, Thursday, 22 October

Rain. High 8°C, low 4°C.

Pressure989 mb

Wind19 mph W

Humidity74%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+7 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Welburn, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain25%

Warmest on record+17° (1996)

Coldest on record-1° (1987)

Sat, 24+7 ° /13 °

2.4

+13 °

Welburn, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+18° (1995)

Coldest on record-1° (1982)

Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °

2.7

+12 °

Welburn, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.7 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+17° (2013)

Coldest on record-1° (2010)

Mon, 26+7 ° /12 °

1.8

+12 °

Welburn, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record0° (1992)

Tue, 27+7 ° /12 °

2.6

+12 °

Welburn, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.6 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (1962)

Wed, 28+6 ° /12 °

1.8

+12 °

Welburn, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (2008)

Thu, 29+5 ° /11 °

1.4

+11 °

Welburn, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall1.4 mm

Chance of rain27%

Warmest on record+17° (1984)

Coldest on record-3° (1997)

Fri, 30+6 ° /12 °

1.6

+12 °

Welburn, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.6 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1997)

Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °

2.2

+12 °

Welburn, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+20° (2014)

Coldest on record-3° (1992)

Sun, 01+6 ° /12 °

2.2

+12 °

Welburn, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+17° (2020)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °

3.3

+11 °

Welburn, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+17° (2020)

Coldest on record-2° (1985)

Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °

2.4

+11 °

Welburn, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+16° (1979)

Coldest on record-5° (1985)

Wed, 04+5 ° /11 °

1.5

+11 °

Welburn, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+16° (2010)

Coldest on record-2° (1966)

Thu, 05+5 ° /11 °

1.7

+11 °

Welburn, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1988)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Welburn are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Welburn since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.