As of 06:26 BST

Weather in Warmley

+13°

Warmley, Wednesday, 7 October, 06:26

Light rain. Feels like 13°C. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind8 mph NE

Humidity95%

Visibility2.0 mi

Dew point12°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Warmley: daytime temperatures averaging +16.2° and +9.4° overnight — that is 2.2° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 3 days (around 15 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 38 mm. The warmest day should be 17 October (+20.1°), the coolest 22 October (+6.4°).

+16.2°/+9.4°

Average day / night

+2.2°

Above average

3 / 6

Wet days / normal

15 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+15.7°	+14.5°	+1.2°
17 October – 26 October	+17.1°	+13.2°	+3.9°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+12°	—

October records over 66 years

+25°1 October 2011All-time high

-2.4°16 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Mangotsfield (3.6 km away).

Thu, 08+8 ° /14 °

0.1

+14 °

Warmley, Thursday, 8 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind10 mph NW

Humidity59%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Fri, 09+11 ° /16 °

3.1

+16 °

Warmley, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind19 mph SW

Humidity88%

Visibility4.2 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /14 °

+14 °

Warmley, Saturday, 10 October

Mainly clear. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind13 mph W

Humidity66%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Sun, 11+8 ° /13 °

+13 °

Warmley, Sunday, 11 October

Mainly clear. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind8 mph W

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Mon, 12+7 ° /16 °

0.8

+16 °

Warmley, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Tue, 13+15 ° /17 °

+17 °

Warmley, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 15°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind13 mph S

Humidity96%

Visibility—

Dew point16°C

Wed, 14+11 ° /16 °

+16 °

Warmley, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind7 mph W

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Thu, 15+10 ° /18 °

+18 °

Warmley, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 18°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind5 mph SW

Humidity58%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Fri, 16+9 ° /19 °

+19 °

Warmley, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 19°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind13 mph S

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Sat, 17+12 ° /20 °

+20 °

Warmley, Saturday, 17 October

Clear sky. High 20°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind11 mph S

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Sun, 18+11 ° /19 °

+19 °

Warmley, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 19°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind9 mph NE

Humidity50%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Mon, 19+8 ° /17 °

+17 °

Warmley, Monday, 19 October

Clear sky. High 17°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind8 mph NE

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Tue, 20+8 ° /16 °

+16 °

Warmley, Tuesday, 20 October

Mainly clear. High 16°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind8 mph NE

Humidity58%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Wed, 21+7 ° /15 °

+15 °

Warmley, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind7 mph E

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Thu, 22+6 ° /15 °

+15 °

Warmley, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1028 mb

Wind10 mph E

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+7 ° /13 °

1.8

+13 °

Warmley, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain25%

Warmest on record+17° (2011)

Coldest on record+1° (1981)

Sat, 24+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Warmley, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record0° (1987)

Sun, 25+8 ° /13 °

2.1

+13 °

Warmley, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+17° (2013)

Coldest on record-1° (2003)

Mon, 26+7 ° /13 °

1.7

+13 °

Warmley, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record+0° (1997)

Tue, 27+8 ° /13 °

2.5

+13 °

Warmley, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record-1° (2003)

Wed, 28+7 ° /13 °

2.4

+13 °

Warmley, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record+1° (2003)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Warmley, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record-2° (2008)

Fri, 30+7 ° /13 °

2.3

+13 °

Warmley, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+18° (2001)

Coldest on record-2° (1983)

Sat, 31+8 ° /13 °

3.4

+13 °

Warmley, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+20° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (1997)

Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °

2.3

+12 °

Warmley, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /12 °

3.7

+12 °

Warmley, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.7 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2006)

Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °

+11 °

Warmley, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+16° (2011)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

+11 °

Warmley, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1966)

Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °

2.2

+11 °

Warmley, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Warmley are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Warmley since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.