As of 13:41 BST

Weather in Urlay Nook

+13°

Urlay Nook, Wednesday, 7 October, 13:41

Mainly clear. Feels like 12°C. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind6 mph N

Humidity65%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Urlay Nook: daytime temperatures averaging +13.7° and +7.9° overnight — that is 0.5° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 9 days (around 53 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 32 mm. The warmest day should be 16 October (+17°), the coolest 12 October (+5.6°).

+13.7°/+7.9°

Average day / night

+0.5°

Above average

9 / 6

Wet days / normal

53 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+15.1°	+13.6°	+1.4°
17 October – 26 October	+11.3°	+12.3°	-1°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+11.2°	—

October records over 66 years

+24.5°1 October 2011All-time high

-2.2°15 October 1981All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Eaglescliffe (1.9 km away).

Thu, 08+6 ° /14 °

3.5

+14 °

Urlay Nook, Thursday, 8 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind8 mph NW

Humidity55%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point3°C

Fri, 09+10 ° /17 °

4.9

+17 °

Urlay Nook, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 17°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1005 mb

Wind10 mph W

Humidity72%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point11°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /12 °

+12 °

Urlay Nook, Saturday, 10 October

Partly cloudy. High 12°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1003 mb

Wind17 mph W

Humidity64%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Sun, 11+8 ° /14 °

+14 °

Urlay Nook, Sunday, 11 October

Partly cloudy. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind8 mph W

Humidity64%

Visibility5.9 mi

Dew point6°C

Mon, 12+6 ° /15 °

0.4

+15 °

Urlay Nook, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity74%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Tue, 13+11 ° /16 °

0.2

+16 °

Urlay Nook, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind18 mph S

Humidity85%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Wed, 14+7 ° /16 °

+16 °

Urlay Nook, Wednesday, 14 October

Clear sky. High 16°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind7 mph S

Humidity51%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Thu, 15+8 ° /17 °

+17 °

Urlay Nook, Thursday, 15 October

Partly cloudy. High 17°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind13 mph S

Humidity71%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Fri, 16+10 ° /17 °

+17 °

Urlay Nook, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 17°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind13 mph S

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Sat, 17+9 ° /15 °

1.5

+15 °

Urlay Nook, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1003 mb

Wind18 mph S

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Sun, 18+6 ° /13 °

1.9

+13 °

Urlay Nook, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind20 mph SE

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Mon, 19+9 ° /12 °

3.2

+12 °

Urlay Nook, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1000 mb

Wind10 mph S

Humidity80%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Tue, 20+6 ° /9 °

7.1

+9 °

Urlay Nook, Tuesday, 20 October

Rain. High 9°C, low 6°C.

Pressure999 mb

Wind16 mph NW

Humidity82%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Wed, 21+7 ° /7 °

20.1

+7 °

Urlay Nook, Wednesday, 21 October

Rain. High 7°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1002 mb

Wind25 mph NW

Humidity87%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Thu, 22+7 ° /11 °

5.3

+11 °

Urlay Nook, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind19 mph NW

Humidity58%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+7 ° /12 °

1.3

+12 °

Urlay Nook, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+17° (1996)

Coldest on record+0° (1987)

Sat, 24+7 ° /12 °

2.1

+12 °

Urlay Nook, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+18° (1995)

Coldest on record+1° (1964)

Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °

2.8

+12 °

Urlay Nook, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.8 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+16° (1969)

Coldest on record+0° (2010)

Mon, 26+7 ° /12 °

1.4

+12 °

Urlay Nook, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.4 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record+0° (1992)

Tue, 27+7 ° /12 °

2.3

+12 °

Urlay Nook, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (1962)

Wed, 28+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Urlay Nook, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record+0° (2008)

Thu, 29+6 ° /11 °

1.6

+11 °

Urlay Nook, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.6 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+16° (1984)

Coldest on record-1° (1997)

Fri, 30+6 ° /12 °

1.9

+12 °

Urlay Nook, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2008)

Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °

2.3

+12 °

Urlay Nook, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-2° (1992)

Sun, 01+6 ° /11 °

2.3

+11 °

Urlay Nook, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+16° (2014)

Coldest on record+0° (1962)

Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °

2.9

+11 °

Urlay Nook, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.9 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (1998)

Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °

2.8

+11 °

Urlay Nook, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.8 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+15° (1979)

Coldest on record-3° (1985)

Wed, 04+6 ° /10 °

1.7

+10 °

Urlay Nook, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record+0° (2012)

Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °

2.1

+10 °

Urlay Nook, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+17° (2025)

Coldest on record0° (1965)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Urlay Nook are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Urlay Nook since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.