The month ahead in Upper Welson: daytime temperatures averaging +15.2° and +7.5° overnight — that is 2.1° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 2 days (around 10 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 37 mm. The warmest day should be 17 October (+19.2°), the coolest 22 October (+4.5°).
+15.2°/+7.5°
Average day / night
+2.1°
Above average
2 / 6
Wet days / normal
10 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+14.8°
+13.5°
+1.3°
17 October – 26 October
+15.8°
+12.2°
+3.7°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+11.1°
—
October records over 66 years
+24.2°1 October 2011All-time high
-3.4°17 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Kington (5.2 km away).
Thu, 08+8 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Upper Welson, Thursday, 8 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Fri, 09+10 ° /15 °3
+15 °
Upper Welson, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind21 mph W
Humidity93%
Visibility2.8 mi
Dew point14°C
Sat, 10+9 ° /12 °0.7
+12 °
Upper Welson, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind17 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+6 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Upper Welson, Sunday, 11 October
Partly cloudy. High 13°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind10 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Mon, 12+5 ° /14 °0.7
+14 °
Upper Welson, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind12 mph S
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Tue, 13+13 ° /18 °0.8
+18 °
Upper Welson, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 18°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind9 mph SW
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point15°C
Wed, 14+7 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Upper Welson, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind9 mph W
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Thu, 15+8 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Upper Welson, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 17°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1029 mb
Wind8 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Fri, 16+7 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Upper Welson, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 17°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind13 mph SW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Sat, 17+8 ° /19 °0
+19 °
Upper Welson, Saturday, 17 October
Clear sky. High 19°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind11 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Sun, 18+9 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Upper Welson, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 17°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind10 mph E
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Mon, 19+6 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Upper Welson, Monday, 19 October
Clear sky. High 16°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind6 mph NE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Tue, 20+6 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Upper Welson, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear sky. High 15°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1031 mb
Wind5 mph E
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Wed, 21+6 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Upper Welson, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1031 mb
Wind5 mph E
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Thu, 22+4 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Upper Welson, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1029 mb
Wind12 mph E
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+6 ° /12 °1.9
+12 °
Upper Welson, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain33%
Warmest on record+16° (2011)
Coldest on record-1° (1981)
Sat, 24+6 ° /12 °2.8
+12 °
Upper Welson, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+16° (1971)
Coldest on record-2° (1964)
Sun, 25+6 ° /12 °2.5
+12 °
Upper Welson, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+16° (2013)
Coldest on record-2° (1997)
Mon, 26+6 ° /12 °2.4
+12 °
Upper Welson, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+0° (1997)
Tue, 27+6 ° /12 °2.5
+12 °
Upper Welson, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+18° (2022)
Coldest on record-3° (2003)
Wed, 28+6 ° /12 °2.2
+12 °
Upper Welson, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1997)
Thu, 29+5 ° /11 °2.2
+11 °
Upper Welson, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record-3° (2008)
Fri, 30+6 ° /12 °2.4
+12 °
Upper Welson, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record-3° (1988)
Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °3.4
+12 °
Upper Welson, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.4 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record-2° (1992)
Sun, 01+6 ° /11 °2.3
+11 °
Upper Welson, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+16° (2020)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °3.5
+11 °
Upper Welson, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.5 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-3° (2006)
Tue, 03+6 ° /10 °1.8
+10 °
Upper Welson, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.8 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+15° (1979)
Coldest on record-3° (1985)
Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °1.9
+10 °
Upper Welson, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+15° (2010)
Coldest on record-3° (1968)
Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °2.3
+10 °
Upper Welson, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+15° (2025)
Coldest on record-3° (1965)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Upper Welson are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Upper Welson since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.