As of 12:24 BST

Weather in Upper Skelmorlie

+10°

Upper Skelmorlie, Wednesday, 7 October, 12:24

Heavy rain. Feels like 10°C. High 12°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind9 mph W

Humidity85%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Upper Skelmorlie: daytime temperatures averaging +12° and +7.2° overnight — that is 0.1° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 8 days (around 100 mm), against a normal of 9 days and 69 mm. The warmest day should be 12 October (+14.9°), the coolest 22 October (+3.9°).

+12°/+7.2°

Average day / night

−0.1°

Below average

8 / 9

Wet days / normal

100 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+13.3°	+12.5°	+0.8°
17 October – 26 October	+9.9°	+11.4°	-1.5°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+10.4°	—

October records over 66 years

+20.1°13 October 1990All-time high

-2.4°20 October 2002All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Largs (8.4 km away).

Thu, 08+6 ° /14 °

16.7

+14 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Thursday, 8 October

Heavy rain. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind6 mph W

Humidity69%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Fri, 09+10 ° /14 °

22.5

+14 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Friday, 9 October

Heavy rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1004 mb

Wind16 mph W

Humidity87%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point9°C

Sat, 10+8 ° /11 °

13.7

+11 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Saturday, 10 October

Rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1002 mb

Wind16 mph W

Humidity88%

Visibility4.4 mi

Dew point8°C

Sun, 11+8 ° /13 °

+13 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind6 mph W

Humidity71%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Mon, 12+10 ° /15 °

6.1

+15 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1008 mb

Wind19 mph S

Humidity94%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Tue, 13+9 ° /15 °

8.5

+15 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind20 mph S

Humidity93%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Wed, 14+8 ° /13 °

+13 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1029 mb

Wind6 mph S

Humidity81%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Thu, 15+7 ° /13 °

0.8

+13 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind11 mph S

Humidity95%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Fri, 16+10 ° /14 °

+14 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind9 mph SE

Humidity81%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Sat, 17+8 ° /11 °

16.7

+11 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Saturday, 17 October

Rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.

Pressure999 mb

Wind13 mph SE

Humidity95%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Sun, 18+6 ° /11 °

12.8

+11 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Sunday, 18 October

Rain. High 11°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1003 mb

Wind20 mph SE

Humidity93%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Mon, 19+6 ° /10 °

0.6

+10 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1000 mb

Wind7 mph NW

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Tue, 20+5 ° /9 °

+9 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 9°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1001 mb

Wind9 mph NW

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Wed, 21+4 ° /10 °

+10 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Wednesday, 21 October

Clear sky. High 10°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Thu, 22+4 ° /9 °

0.3

+9 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 9°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind7 mph NW

Humidity86%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+8 ° /12 °

4.7

+12 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.7 mm

Chance of rain63%

Warmest on record+16° (1996)

Coldest on record+2° (1964)

Sat, 24+7 ° /11 °

6.7

+11 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall6.7 mm

Chance of rain65%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record+1° (2010)

Sun, 25+7 ° /11 °

4.4

+11 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.4 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+15° (1996)

Coldest on record+2° (1992)

Mon, 26+7 ° /11 °

5.1

+11 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.1 mm

Chance of rain63%

Warmest on record+15° (2005)

Coldest on record+0° (2012)

Tue, 27+8 ° /11 °

5.8

+11 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.8 mm

Chance of rain67%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (2012)

Wed, 28+7 ° /11 °

5.7

+11 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.7 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1966)

Thu, 29+6 ° /10 °

+10 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall5 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+15° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (2018)

Fri, 30+7 ° /11 °

4.5

+11 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.5 mm

Chance of rain65%

Warmest on record+15° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (2018)

Sat, 31+7 ° /11 °

5.4

+11 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.4 mm

Chance of rain70%

Warmest on record+16° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (1988)

Sun, 01+6 ° /10 °

5.7

+10 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall5.7 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+14° (2007)

Coldest on record0° (1985)

Mon, 02+6 ° /10 °

5.6

+10 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall5.6 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+15° (1971)

Coldest on record-1° (1986)

Tue, 03+6 ° /10 °

5.9

+10 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall5.9 mm

Chance of rain65%

Warmest on record+15° (1979)

Coldest on record-1° (1968)

Wed, 04+6 ° /10 °

3.5

+10 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.5 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+14° (1978)

Coldest on record-4° (1968)

Thu, 05+6 ° /10 °

3.8

+10 °

Upper Skelmorlie, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.8 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+14° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1984)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Upper Skelmorlie are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Upper Skelmorlie since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.