The month ahead in Upper Mayfield: daytime temperatures averaging +12.4° and +6.6° overnight — that is 0.6° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 12 days (around 79 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 36 mm. The warmest day should be 15 October (+17.1°), the coolest 21 October (+3.4°).
+12.4°/+6.6°
Average day / night
−0.6°
Below average
12 / 6
Wet days / normal
79 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+13.8°
+13.5°
+0.3°
17 October – 26 October
+10.2°
+12.1°
-1.9°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+11°
—
October records over 66 years
+25.5°1 October 2011All-time high
-3.5°29 October 1997All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Ashbourne (2.8 km away).
Thu, 08+5 ° /15 °0.4
+15 °
Upper Mayfield, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind13 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point4°C
Fri, 09+8 ° /14 °5.5
+14 °
Upper Mayfield, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind23 mph W
Humidity92%
Visibility3.2 mi
Dew point13°C
Sat, 10+7 ° /10 °1.3
+10 °
Upper Mayfield, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind20 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Sun, 11+6 ° /11 °1
+11 °
Upper Mayfield, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind12 mph W
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Mon, 12+4 ° /13 °1.3
+13 °
Upper Mayfield, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind13 mph S
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Tue, 13+12 ° /14 °2.3
+14 °
Upper Mayfield, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind14 mph S
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Wed, 14+8 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Upper Mayfield, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear sky. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind7 mph N
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Thu, 15+8 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Upper Mayfield, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 17°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1025 mb
Wind8 mph SE
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Fri, 16+8 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Upper Mayfield, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind12 mph SE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Sat, 17+7 ° /14 °3.5
+14 °
Upper Mayfield, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1003 mb
Wind16 mph S
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Sun, 18+5 ° /12 °5.4
+12 °
Upper Mayfield, Sunday, 18 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind16 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Mon, 19+7 ° /11 °14.5
+11 °
Upper Mayfield, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Pressure999 mb
Wind17 mph N
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Tue, 20+4 ° /8 °32.1
+8 °
Upper Mayfield, Tuesday, 20 October
Heavy rain. High 8°C, low 4°C.
Pressure999 mb
Wind23 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Wed, 21+3 ° /8 °1.7
+8 °
Upper Mayfield, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 8°C, low 3°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind22 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Thu, 22+4 ° /9 °2.5
+9 °
Upper Mayfield, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind15 mph NW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+7 ° /12 °1.8
+12 °
Upper Mayfield, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.8 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+17° (1996)
Coldest on record0° (1987)
Sat, 24+6 ° /12 °2.4
+12 °
Upper Mayfield, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record-1° (1964)
Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °2.4
+12 °
Upper Mayfield, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+16° (2013)
Coldest on record-2° (2010)
Mon, 26+7 ° /12 °2.5
+12 °
Upper Mayfield, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (1981)
Tue, 27+7 ° /12 °3.1
+12 °
Upper Mayfield, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1962)
Wed, 28+6 ° /12 °2
+12 °
Upper Mayfield, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Thu, 29+6 ° /11 °1.7
+11 °
Upper Mayfield, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.7 mm
Chance of rain30%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record-3° (1997)
Fri, 30+6 ° /11 °2.4
+11 °
Upper Mayfield, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+17° (2001)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °2.8
+12 °
Upper Mayfield, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record-2° (2018)
Sun, 01+6 ° /11 °2.7
+11 °
Upper Mayfield, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.7 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1988)
Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °3.8
+11 °
Upper Mayfield, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1985)
Tue, 03+6 ° /10 °2.2
+10 °
Upper Mayfield, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+15° (1979)
Coldest on record-3° (1985)
Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °2
+10 °
Upper Mayfield, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+15° (2010)
Coldest on record-2° (1966)
Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °2.4
+10 °
Upper Mayfield, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+15° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Upper Mayfield are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Upper Mayfield since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.