The month ahead in Upper Hulme: daytime temperatures averaging +12.1° and +6.5° overnight — that is 0.6° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 11 days (around 89 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 37 mm. The warmest day should be 15 October (+16°), the coolest 21 October (+2.5°).
+12.1°/+6.5°
Average day / night
−0.6°
Below average
11 / 6
Wet days / normal
89 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+13.6°
+13.1°
+0.5°
17 October – 26 October
+9.5°
+11.8°
-2.3°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+10.7°
—
October records over 66 years
+24.7°1 October 2011All-time high
-3.5°17 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Leek (5.1 km away).
Thu, 08+6 ° /14 °0.7
+14 °
Upper Hulme, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Fri, 09+9 ° /15 °8.2
+15 °
Upper Hulme, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind20 mph W
Humidity96%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point14°C
Sat, 10+8 ° /11 °3.7
+11 °
Upper Hulme, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind20 mph W
Humidity83%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+8 ° /11 °3.2
+11 °
Upper Hulme, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind10 mph W
Humidity90%
Visibility5.1 mi
Dew point8°C
Mon, 12+6 ° /14 °0.4
+14 °
Upper Hulme, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind16 mph S
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Tue, 13+11 ° /14 °2.4
+14 °
Upper Hulme, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind14 mph S
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Wed, 14+7 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Upper Hulme, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear sky. High 14°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind6 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Thu, 15+8 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Upper Hulme, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1025 mb
Wind9 mph SE
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Fri, 16+8 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Upper Hulme, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind15 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Sat, 17+7 ° /12 °3.9
+12 °
Upper Hulme, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1003 mb
Wind16 mph SE
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Sun, 18+4 ° /11 °5.4
+11 °
Upper Hulme, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind19 mph SE
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Mon, 19+6 ° /10 °15.9
+10 °
Upper Hulme, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.
Pressure999 mb
Wind16 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Tue, 20+3 ° /7 °34.8
+7 °
Upper Hulme, Tuesday, 20 October
Heavy rain. High 7°C, low 3°C.
Pressure999 mb
Wind22 mph NW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Wed, 21+2 ° /8 °3.7
+8 °
Upper Hulme, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 8°C, low 2°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind21 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Thu, 22+4 ° /8 °2.5
+8 °
Upper Hulme, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 8°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind14 mph NW
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+7 ° /12 °1.8
+12 °
Upper Hulme, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.8 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+17° (1971)
Coldest on record0° (1981)
Sat, 24+6 ° /12 °2.8
+12 °
Upper Hulme, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record-1° (1964)
Sun, 25+7 ° /11 °2.7
+11 °
Upper Hulme, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.7 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+16° (2013)
Coldest on record-1° (2010)
Mon, 26+6 ° /11 °2.7
+11 °
Upper Hulme, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.7 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (1981)
Tue, 27+7 ° /12 °3.2
+12 °
Upper Hulme, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.2 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+19° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1962)
Wed, 28+6 ° /11 °2.3
+11 °
Upper Hulme, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Thu, 29+6 ° /11 °1.9
+11 °
Upper Hulme, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+16° (2022)
Coldest on record-3° (2008)
Fri, 30+6 ° /11 °2.3
+11 °
Upper Hulme, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+17° (2001)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Sat, 31+6 ° /11 °2.9
+11 °
Upper Hulme, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record-2° (1974)
Sun, 01+6 ° /11 °3
+11 °
Upper Hulme, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1988)
Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °3.9
+11 °
Upper Hulme, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1985)
Tue, 03+5 ° /10 °2.4
+10 °
Upper Hulme, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+16° (1979)
Coldest on record-3° (1985)
Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °2
+10 °
Upper Hulme, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+15° (1971)
Coldest on record-2° (1968)
Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °2.5
+10 °
Upper Hulme, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+15° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Upper Hulme are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Upper Hulme since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.