As of 14:51 BST

Weather in Upper Ellastone

+13°

Upper Ellastone, Wednesday, 7 October, 14:51

Mainly clear. Feels like 13°C. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind14 mph NW

Humidity72%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Upper Ellastone: daytime temperatures averaging +13° and +7.2° overnight — that is 0° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 13 days (around 81 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 36 mm. The warmest day should be 15 October (+17.7°), the coolest 21 October (+4°).

+13°/+7.2°

Average day / night

−0°

Below average

13 / 6

Wet days / normal

81 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+14.3°	+13.5°	+0.8°
17 October – 26 October	+10.8°	+12.1°	-1.3°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+11°	—

October records over 66 years

+25.5°1 October 2011All-time high

-3.5°29 October 1997All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Ashbourne (7.3 km away).

Thu, 08+7 ° /15 °

+15 °

Upper Ellastone, Thursday, 8 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind13 mph NW

Humidity65%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point4°C

Fri, 09+9 ° /15 °

5.6

+15 °

Upper Ellastone, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1008 mb

Wind22 mph W

Humidity91%

Visibility2.9 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+8 ° /11 °

1.3

+11 °

Upper Ellastone, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind20 mph W

Humidity73%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Sun, 11+6 ° /12 °

1.3

+12 °

Upper Ellastone, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind10 mph W

Humidity85%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Mon, 12+5 ° /14 °

1.1

+14 °

Upper Ellastone, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind13 mph S

Humidity80%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Tue, 13+12 ° /14 °

2.3

+14 °

Upper Ellastone, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity91%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Wed, 14+8 ° /15 °

+15 °

Upper Ellastone, Wednesday, 14 October

Clear sky. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind7 mph N

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Thu, 15+9 ° /18 °

+18 °

Upper Ellastone, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 18°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind8 mph SE

Humidity83%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Fri, 16+9 ° /16 °

+16 °

Upper Ellastone, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind13 mph SE

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Sat, 17+8 ° /14 °

3.4

+14 °

Upper Ellastone, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1003 mb

Wind16 mph S

Humidity79%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Sun, 18+5 ° /12 °

5.2

+12 °

Upper Ellastone, Sunday, 18 October

Rain. High 12°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1006 mb

Wind16 mph SE

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Mon, 19+7 ° /11 °

15.5

+11 °

Upper Ellastone, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.

Pressure999 mb

Wind17 mph NW

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Tue, 20+5 ° /9 °

32.3

+9 °

Upper Ellastone, Tuesday, 20 October

Heavy rain. High 9°C, low 5°C.

Pressure999 mb

Wind24 mph NW

Humidity74%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Wed, 21+4 ° /9 °

1.2

+9 °

Upper Ellastone, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 9°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1004 mb

Wind22 mph NW

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Thu, 22+5 ° /9 °

2.4

+9 °

Upper Ellastone, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 9°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind14 mph NW

Humidity78%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+7 ° /12 °

1.8

+12 °

Upper Ellastone, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+17° (1996)

Coldest on record0° (1987)

Sat, 24+6 ° /12 °

2.4

+12 °

Upper Ellastone, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record-1° (1964)

Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °

2.4

+12 °

Upper Ellastone, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+16° (2013)

Coldest on record-2° (2010)

Mon, 26+7 ° /12 °

2.5

+12 °

Upper Ellastone, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (1981)

Tue, 27+7 ° /12 °

3.1

+12 °

Upper Ellastone, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Wed, 28+6 ° /12 °

+12 °

Upper Ellastone, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (2008)

Thu, 29+6 ° /11 °

1.7

+11 °

Upper Ellastone, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record-3° (1997)

Fri, 30+6 ° /11 °

2.4

+11 °

Upper Ellastone, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+17° (2001)

Coldest on record-2° (1988)

Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °

2.8

+12 °

Upper Ellastone, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.8 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-2° (2018)

Sun, 01+6 ° /11 °

2.7

+11 °

Upper Ellastone, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.7 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+16° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °

3.8

+11 °

Upper Ellastone, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.8 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (1985)

Tue, 03+6 ° /10 °

2.2

+10 °

Upper Ellastone, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+15° (1979)

Coldest on record-3° (1985)

Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °

+10 °

Upper Ellastone, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+15° (2010)

Coldest on record-2° (1966)

Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °

2.4

+10 °

Upper Ellastone, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+15° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1988)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Upper Ellastone are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Upper Ellastone since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.