The month ahead in Upper Craigie: daytime temperatures averaging +12° and +5.6° overnight — that is 0° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 7 days (around 28 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 41 mm. The warmest day should be 9 October (+15.3°), the coolest 22 October (+2.1°).
+12°/+5.6°
Average day / night
+0°
Above average
7 / 6
Wet days / normal
28 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+13.4°
+12.4°
+1°
17 October – 26 October
+9.7°
+11.1°
-1.4°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+10.1°
—
October records over 66 years
+20.3°1 October 1985All-time high
-2.9°17 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Newburgh (12.6 km away).
Thu, 08+5 ° /14 °4.7
+14 °
Upper Craigie, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind6 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Fri, 09+8 ° /15 °0.5
+15 °
Upper Craigie, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1001 mb
Wind12 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sat, 10+7 ° /13 °1
+13 °
Upper Craigie, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Pressure999 mb
Wind11 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Sun, 11+6 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Upper Craigie, Sunday, 11 October
Partly cloudy. High 13°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind7 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Mon, 12+4 ° /13 °2.2
+13 °
Upper Craigie, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind5 mph S
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Tue, 13+8 ° /15 °3.8
+15 °
Upper Craigie, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind16 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Wed, 14+8 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Upper Craigie, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind13 mph SW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Thu, 15+7 ° /14 °3.8
+14 °
Upper Craigie, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind24 mph SW
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Fri, 16+6 ° /11 °0
+11 °
Upper Craigie, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 11°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind15 mph SW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Sat, 17+5 ° /10 °1.8
+10 °
Upper Craigie, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind16 mph S
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Sun, 18+4 ° /10 °0.8
+10 °
Upper Craigie, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind13 mph SE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Mon, 19+8 ° /12 °8
+12 °
Upper Craigie, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure986 mb
Wind23 mph SE
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Tue, 20+5 ° /10 °0.7
+10 °
Upper Craigie, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 5°C.
Pressure991 mb
Wind15 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Wed, 21+4 ° /8 °0.4
+8 °
Upper Craigie, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 8°C, low 4°C.
Pressure998 mb
Wind11 mph SW
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Thu, 22+2 ° /9 °0.4
+9 °
Upper Craigie, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 2°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind12 mph SE
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+6 ° /11 °2.2
+11 °
Upper Craigie, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+17° (1996)
Coldest on record-1° (2023)
Sat, 24+6 ° /11 °3
+11 °
Upper Craigie, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+16° (1995)
Coldest on record-1° (1992)
Sun, 25+6 ° /11 °2.6
+11 °
Upper Craigie, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+16° (1969)
Coldest on record-1° (1992)
Mon, 26+6 ° /11 °2.5
+11 °
Upper Craigie, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+15° (1978)
Coldest on record-2° (1992)
Tue, 27+6 ° /11 °2.7
+11 °
Upper Craigie, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.7 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1993)
Wed, 28+6 ° /11 °3.1
+11 °
Upper Craigie, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+15° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Thu, 29+5 ° /10 °2.4
+10 °
Upper Craigie, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+14° (2024)
Coldest on record-2° (2018)
Fri, 30+5 ° /11 °2.8
+11 °
Upper Craigie, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+15° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1992)
Sat, 31+6 ° /11 °2.9
+11 °
Upper Craigie, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record-3° (1992)
Sun, 01+5 ° /10 °2.6
+10 °
Upper Craigie, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+15° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Mon, 02+5 ° /10 °2.5
+10 °
Upper Craigie, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+15° (1971)
Coldest on record-3° (1998)
Tue, 03+5 ° /10 °3.1
+10 °
Upper Craigie, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+15° (2025)
Coldest on record-3° (1966)
Wed, 04+4 ° /9 °2
+9 °
Upper Craigie, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high9°C
Average low4°C
Average rainfall2 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+14° (2025)
Coldest on record-4° (1968)
Thu, 05+4 ° /9 °2
+9 °
Upper Craigie, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high9°C
Average low4°C
Average rainfall2 mm
Chance of rain32%
Warmest on record+15° (2003)
Coldest on record-2° (2012)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Upper Craigie are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Upper Craigie since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.