As of 15:10 BST

Weather in Upper Burgate

+12°

Upper Burgate, Wednesday, 7 October, 15:10

Overcast. Feels like 12°C. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind15 mph N

Humidity91%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point11°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Upper Burgate: daytime temperatures averaging +14.8° and +8.4° overnight — that is 0.3° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 8 days (around 52 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 40 mm. The warmest day should be 9 October (+18.4°), the coolest 22 October (+6°).

+14.8°/+8.4°

Average day / night

+0.3°

Above average

8 / 6

Wet days / normal

52 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+16.2°	+15°	+1.2°
17 October – 26 October	+12.6°	+13.7°	-1.2°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+12.6°	—

October records over 66 years

+23.2°1 October 2011All-time high

-0.6°31 October 2018All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Fordingbridge (2.1 km away).

Thu, 08+8 ° /15 °

+15 °

Upper Burgate, Thursday, 8 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind13 mph NW

Humidity56%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Fri, 09+11 ° /18 °

1.5

+18 °

Upper Burgate, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind20 mph W

Humidity75%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /14 °

0.1

+14 °

Upper Burgate, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind14 mph W

Humidity66%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /14 °

+14 °

Upper Burgate, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind8 mph W

Humidity65%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Mon, 12+10 ° /17 °

+17 °

Upper Burgate, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind13 mph S

Humidity98%

Visibility—

Dew point15°C

Tue, 13+11 ° /18 °

3.2

+18 °

Upper Burgate, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind16 mph NW

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point14°C

Wed, 14+9 ° /17 °

+17 °

Upper Burgate, Wednesday, 14 October

Clear sky. High 17°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind6 mph S

Humidity54%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Thu, 15+11 ° /18 °

+18 °

Upper Burgate, Thursday, 15 October

Partly cloudy. High 18°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind14 mph SW

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Fri, 16+6 ° /15 °

0.2

+15 °

Upper Burgate, Friday, 16 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind8 mph N

Humidity48%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Sat, 17+9 ° /15 °

5.8

+15 °

Upper Burgate, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1005 mb

Wind16 mph S

Humidity88%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Sun, 18+8 ° /14 °

9.4

+14 °

Upper Burgate, Sunday, 18 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1005 mb

Wind18 mph S

Humidity81%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Mon, 19+7 ° /9 °

15.7

+9 °

Upper Burgate, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 9°C, low 7°C.

Pressure997 mb

Wind23 mph NW

Humidity93%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Tue, 20+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Upper Burgate, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 12°C, low 7°C.

Pressure999 mb

Wind20 mph NW

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Wed, 21+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Upper Burgate, Wednesday, 21 October

Clear sky. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind20 mph NW

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Thu, 22+6 ° /13 °

2.7

+13 °

Upper Burgate, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind14 mph NW

Humidity86%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+9 ° /14 °

2.1

+14 °

Upper Burgate, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain27%

Warmest on record+18° (2011)

Coldest on record+3° (1981)

Sat, 24+9 ° /14 °

3.3

+14 °

Upper Burgate, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+18° (1995)

Coldest on record+1° (1964)

Sun, 25+9 ° /14 °

2.1

+14 °

Upper Burgate, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+17° (2006)

Coldest on record+2° (2003)

Mon, 26+9 ° /14 °

1.4

+14 °

Upper Burgate, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.4 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record+3° (1981)

Tue, 27+9 ° /13 °

2.2

+13 °

Upper Burgate, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+1° (1962)

Wed, 28+9 ° /13 °

2.4

+13 °

Upper Burgate, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record+2° (2012)

Thu, 29+8 ° /13 °

1.9

+13 °

Upper Burgate, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+20° (2022)

Coldest on record0° (2008)

Fri, 30+8 ° /13 °

+13 °

Upper Burgate, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+18° (2001)

Coldest on record0° (1983)

Sat, 31+9 ° /13 °

3.3

+13 °

Upper Burgate, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (2018)

Sun, 01+8 ° /13 °

2.5

+13 °

Upper Burgate, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record+2° (2008)

Mon, 02+8 ° /12 °

3.4

+12 °

Upper Burgate, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (2018)

Tue, 03+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Upper Burgate, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+16° (1994)

Coldest on record0° (1985)

Wed, 04+7 ° /12 °

2.5

+12 °

Upper Burgate, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-1° (1966)

Thu, 05+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Upper Burgate, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain27%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record+1° (2020)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Upper Burgate are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Upper Burgate since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.