The month ahead in Thorpe Culvert: daytime temperatures averaging +14.7° and +8.6° overnight — that is 0.7° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 7 days (around 40 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 38 mm. The warmest day should be 9 October (+18.2°), the coolest 22 October (+5.4°).
+14.7°/+8.6°
Average day / night
+0.7°
Above average
7 / 6
Wet days / normal
40 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+15.5°
+14.4°
+1.1°
17 October – 26 October
+13.3°
+13.1°
+0.1°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+12°
—
October records over 66 years
+24.9°2 October 2011All-time high
+0.2°29 October 2008All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Wainfleet All Saints (3 km away).
Thu, 08+7 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Thorpe Culvert, Thursday, 8 October
Clear sky. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Fri, 09+10 ° /18 °4.9
+18 °
Thorpe Culvert, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 18°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind19 mph SW
Humidity77%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point13°C
Sat, 10+9 ° /13 °0.4
+13 °
Thorpe Culvert, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Sun, 11+7 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Thorpe Culvert, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind12 mph W
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Mon, 12+6 ° /16 °0.6
+16 °
Thorpe Culvert, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind14 mph S
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Tue, 13+11 ° /17 °2.2
+17 °
Thorpe Culvert, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind19 mph W
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point13°C
Wed, 14+9 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Thorpe Culvert, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear sky. High 17°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind13 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Thu, 15+10 ° /18 °0
+18 °
Thorpe Culvert, Thursday, 15 October
Clear sky. High 18°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind19 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Fri, 16+8 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Thorpe Culvert, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1026 mb
Wind12 mph SE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Sat, 17+10 ° /15 °4.6
+15 °
Thorpe Culvert, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind17 mph S
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Sun, 18+10 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Thorpe Culvert, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind17 mph S
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Mon, 19+10 ° /16 °8.9
+16 °
Thorpe Culvert, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 16°C, low 10°C.
Pressure998 mb
Wind30 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Tue, 20+8 ° /11 °5.1
+11 °
Thorpe Culvert, Tuesday, 20 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Pressure998 mb
Wind21 mph SW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Wed, 21+6 ° /12 °1.3
+12 °
Thorpe Culvert, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind14 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Thu, 22+5 ° /12 °0.2
+12 °
Thorpe Culvert, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind19 mph SE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+8 ° /13 °1.8
+13 °
Thorpe Culvert, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.8 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+17° (1963)
Coldest on record+4° (1964)
Sat, 24+8 ° /13 °2.3
+13 °
Thorpe Culvert, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+19° (2017)
Coldest on record+3° (1964)
Sun, 25+8 ° /13 °1.7
+13 °
Thorpe Culvert, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.7 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+17° (2013)
Coldest on record+3° (1997)
Mon, 26+8 ° /13 °1.8
+13 °
Thorpe Culvert, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.8 mm
Chance of rain30%
Warmest on record+18° (2022)
Coldest on record+3° (1981)
Tue, 27+8 ° /13 °2.6
+13 °
Thorpe Culvert, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+19° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (1962)
Wed, 28+8 ° /13 °2.2
+13 °
Thorpe Culvert, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (2008)
Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °1.6
+12 °
Thorpe Culvert, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.6 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+18° (2022)
Coldest on record+0° (2008)
Fri, 30+8 ° /12 °2.2
+12 °
Thorpe Culvert, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (1997)
Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °2.3
+12 °
Thorpe Culvert, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record+1° (1992)
Sun, 01+8 ° /12 °2.6
+12 °
Thorpe Culvert, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+17° (2020)
Coldest on record+2° (1988)
Mon, 02+7 ° /12 °3.5
+12 °
Thorpe Culvert, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.5 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+17° (2020)
Coldest on record+1° (1985)
Tue, 03+7 ° /12 °2.4
+12 °
Thorpe Culvert, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record-1° (1985)
Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °2.6
+11 °
Thorpe Culvert, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record+0° (1966)
Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °1.5
+11 °
Thorpe Culvert, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.5 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+17° (2025)
Coldest on record+0° (1988)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Thorpe Culvert are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Thorpe Culvert since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.