The month ahead in The North: daytime temperatures averaging +13.8° and +6.6° overnight — that is 0.4° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 8 days (around 40 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 38 mm. The warmest day should be 12 October (+17.4°), the coolest 21 October (+3.8°).
+13.8°/+6.6°
Average day / night
+0.4°
Above average
8 / 6
Wet days / normal
40 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+14.9°
+13.8°
+1°
17 October – 26 October
+12.2°
+12.6°
-0.4°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+11.4°
—
October records over 66 years
+24.6°1 October 2011All-time high
-3.4°19 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Coleford (6.5 km away).
Thu, 08+7 ° /14 °0.8
+14 °
The North, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Fri, 09+9 ° /17 °0.7
+17 °
The North, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind16 mph SW
Humidity92%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point14°C
Sat, 10+8 ° /14 °0
+14 °
The North, Saturday, 10 October
Partly cloudy. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind15 mph W
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Sun, 11+6 ° /14 °0
+14 °
The North, Sunday, 11 October
Clear sky. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind7 mph W
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Mon, 12+7 ° /17 °2.7
+17 °
The North, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind12 mph SW
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point15°C
Tue, 13+8 ° /16 °1.5
+16 °
The North, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind16 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Wed, 14+7 ° /16 °0
+16 °
The North, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear sky. High 16°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1031 mb
Wind10 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Thu, 15+6 ° /15 °0.1
+15 °
The North, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind16 mph SW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Fri, 16+4 ° /12 °0
+12 °
The North, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1026 mb
Wind4 mph SE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Sat, 17+7 ° /11 °3.4
+11 °
The North, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind7 mph N
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Sun, 18+5 ° /15 °0.2
+15 °
The North, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind19 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Mon, 19+9 ° /14 °10.6
+14 °
The North, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1000 mb
Wind22 mph SW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Tue, 20+6 ° /10 °4.7
+10 °
The North, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.
Pressure997 mb
Wind18 mph SW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Wed, 21+4 ° /11 °3.9
+11 °
The North, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind12 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Thu, 22+4 ° /12 °8.1
+12 °
The North, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind15 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+7 ° /13 °1.7
+13 °
The North, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.7 mm
Chance of rain30%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record0° (1981)
Sat, 24+7 ° /12 °2.8
+12 °
The North, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record-1° (1987)
Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °2
+12 °
The North, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+16° (2013)
Coldest on record-2° (2003)
Mon, 26+7 ° /12 °2.3
+12 °
The North, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain33%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1997)
Tue, 27+7 ° /12 °2.3
+12 °
The North, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+19° (2022)
Coldest on record-2° (1962)
Wed, 28+6 ° /12 °2.1
+12 °
The North, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (2012)
Thu, 29+6 ° /12 °2
+12 °
The North, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+18° (2022)
Coldest on record-3° (2008)
Fri, 30+6 ° /12 °2.3
+12 °
The North, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+17° (2001)
Coldest on record-2° (1983)
Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °3.3
+12 °
The North, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.3 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record-2° (1992)
Sun, 01+6 ° /12 °2.3
+12 °
The North, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (1962)
Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °3.5
+11 °
The North, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.5 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (2006)
Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °1.8
+11 °
The North, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.8 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+15° (1994)
Coldest on record-3° (1985)
Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °2.1
+10 °
The North, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+15° (1978)
Coldest on record-2° (2006)
Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °2.1
+10 °
The North, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (2006)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for The North are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in The North since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.