The month ahead in Blackshaw Moor: daytime temperatures averaging +12.7° and +7.3° overnight — that is 0.2° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 9 days (around 35 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 37 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+18.2°), the coolest 8 October (+2.9°).
+12.7°/+7.3°
Average day / night
+0.2°
Above average
9 / 6
Wet days / normal
35 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
8 October – 17 October
+12.5°
+13°
-0.5°
18 October – 27 October
+13.2°
+11.7°
+1.4°
28 October – 6 November
near average
+10.4°
—
October records over 66 years
+24.7°1 October 2011All-time high
-3.5°17 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Leek (4 km away).
Fri, 09+9 ° /13 °10.3
+13 °
Blackshaw Moor, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity96%
Visibility2.2 mi
Dew point14°C
Sat, 10+7 ° /10 °3.4
+10 °
Blackshaw Moor, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind21 mph W
Humidity85%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+7 ° /11 °2.2
+11 °
Blackshaw Moor, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity87%
Visibility5.6 mi
Dew point8°C
Mon, 12+7 ° /15 °2.8
+15 °
Blackshaw Moor, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind15 mph S
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Tue, 13+10 ° /18 °3.9
+18 °
Blackshaw Moor, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 18°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind19 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point15°C
Wed, 14+5 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Blackshaw Moor, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind10 mph SW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Thu, 15+6 ° /10 °5.3
+10 °
Blackshaw Moor, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Fri, 16+4 ° /10 °0
+10 °
Blackshaw Moor, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 10°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind17 mph N
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Sat, 17+5 ° /11 °1.6
+11 °
Blackshaw Moor, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind9 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Sun, 18+7 ° /11 °0
+11 °
Blackshaw Moor, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind9 mph SE
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Mon, 19+9 ° /14 °1.7
+14 °
Blackshaw Moor, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1017 mb
Wind9 mph SW
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Tue, 20+11 ° /14 °0.6
+14 °
Blackshaw Moor, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind15 mph SE
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Wed, 21+10 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Blackshaw Moor, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind17 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Thu, 22+8 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Blackshaw Moor, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind19 mph E
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Fri, 23+8 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Blackshaw Moor, Friday, 23 October
Clear sky. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind19 mph E
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 24+6 ° /12 °2.8
+12 °
Blackshaw Moor, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record-1° (1964)
Sun, 25+7 ° /11 °2.7
+11 °
Blackshaw Moor, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.7 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+16° (2013)
Coldest on record-1° (2010)
Mon, 26+6 ° /11 °2.7
+11 °
Blackshaw Moor, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.7 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (1981)
Tue, 27+7 ° /12 °3.2
+12 °
Blackshaw Moor, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.2 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+19° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1962)
Wed, 28+6 ° /11 °2.3
+11 °
Blackshaw Moor, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Thu, 29+6 ° /11 °1.9
+11 °
Blackshaw Moor, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+16° (2022)
Coldest on record-3° (2008)
Fri, 30+6 ° /11 °2.3
+11 °
Blackshaw Moor, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+17° (2001)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Sat, 31+6 ° /11 °2.9
+11 °
Blackshaw Moor, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record-2° (1974)
Sun, 01+6 ° /11 °3
+11 °
Blackshaw Moor, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1988)
Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °3.9
+11 °
Blackshaw Moor, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1985)
Tue, 03+5 ° /10 °2.4
+10 °
Blackshaw Moor, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+16° (1979)
Coldest on record-3° (1985)
Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °2
+10 °
Blackshaw Moor, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+15° (1971)
Coldest on record-2° (1968)
Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °2.5
+10 °
Blackshaw Moor, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+15° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Fri, 06+5 ° /9 °1.9
+9 °
Blackshaw Moor, Friday, 6 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high9°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+15° (1972)
Coldest on record0° (1995)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Blackshaw Moor are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Blackshaw Moor since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.