As of 05:16 BST

Weather in Blackshaw

+6°

Blackshaw, Wednesday, 7 October, 05:16

Overcast. Feels like 4°C. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind5 mph NW

Humidity92%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Blackshaw: daytime temperatures averaging +13.8° and +8.8° overnight — that is 1.2° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 7 days (around 26 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 51 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+16.2°), the coolest 7 October (+5.6°).

+13.8°/+8.8°

Average day / night

+1.2°

Above average

7 / 7

Wet days / normal

26 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+13.6°	+12.9°	+0.8°
17 October – 26 October	+14°	+11.8°	+2.2°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+10.7°	—

October records over 66 years

+21.1°1 October 1985All-time high

-2.7°16 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Silloth (14 km away).

Thu, 08+6 ° /13 °

4.7

+13 °

Blackshaw, Thursday, 8 October

Rain. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind5 mph W

Humidity63%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Fri, 09+9 ° /14 °

6.2

+14 °

Blackshaw, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1005 mb

Wind16 mph W

Humidity78%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point9°C

Sat, 10+8 ° /11 °

2.7

+11 °

Blackshaw, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1005 mb

Wind18 mph W

Humidity75%

Visibility5.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Blackshaw, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind8 mph W

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Mon, 12+8 ° /13 °

3.1

+13 °

Blackshaw, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind10 mph S

Humidity80%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Tue, 13+9 ° /16 °

4.4

+16 °

Blackshaw, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind27 mph S

Humidity95%

Visibility—

Dew point15°C

Wed, 14+8 ° /14 °

+14 °

Blackshaw, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1027 mb

Wind14 mph SW

Humidity86%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Thu, 15+14 ° /15 °

+15 °

Blackshaw, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 14°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind19 mph SW

Humidity84%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Fri, 16+13 ° /15 °

1.5

+15 °

Blackshaw, Friday, 16 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind27 mph SW

Humidity91%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Sat, 17+11 ° /15 °

2.8

+15 °

Blackshaw, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind24 mph S

Humidity89%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Sun, 18+10 ° /14 °

+14 °

Blackshaw, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind13 mph NE

Humidity81%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Mon, 19+9 ° /14 °

+14 °

Blackshaw, Monday, 19 October

Clear sky. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind13 mph E

Humidity75%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Tue, 20+8 ° /13 °

+13 °

Blackshaw, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1032 mb

Wind7 mph NE

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Wed, 21+8 ° /13 °

+13 °

Blackshaw, Wednesday, 21 October

Mainly clear. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind4 mph NE

Humidity79%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Thu, 22+8 ° /14 °

+14 °

Blackshaw, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind6 mph NE

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+8 ° /12 °

3.2

+12 °

Blackshaw, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+16° (1996)

Coldest on record+1° (1993)

Sat, 24+7 ° /12 °

4.1

+12 °

Blackshaw, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.1 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+16° (1995)

Coldest on record0° (1983)

Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °

3.8

+12 °

Blackshaw, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.8 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+16° (2024)

Coldest on record+1° (1993)

Mon, 26+8 ° /11 °

+11 °

Blackshaw, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1993)

Tue, 27+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Blackshaw, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Wed, 28+7 ° /11 °

4.5

+11 °

Blackshaw, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.5 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2008)

Thu, 29+6 ° /11 °

3.2

+11 °

Blackshaw, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1983)

Fri, 30+7 ° /11 °

3.6

+11 °

Blackshaw, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.6 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Sat, 31+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Blackshaw, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1992)

Sun, 01+7 ° /11 °

4.4

+11 °

Blackshaw, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.4 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+15° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (1985)

Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °

3.9

+11 °

Blackshaw, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+15° (1969)

Coldest on record-1° (1986)

Tue, 03+6 ° /10 °

4.1

+10 °

Blackshaw, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4.1 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record-2° (1966)

Wed, 04+6 ° /10 °

2.6

+10 °

Blackshaw, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.6 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+14° (2010)

Coldest on record-2° (1968)

Thu, 05+6 ° /10 °

2.8

+10 °

Blackshaw, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.8 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1984)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Blackshaw are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Blackshaw since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.