The month ahead in Black Pill: daytime temperatures averaging +14.2° and +10.6° overnight — that is 0.3° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 8 days (around 58 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 63 mm. The warmest day should be 12 October (+16.6°), the coolest 20 October (+7.5°).
+14.2°/+10.6°
Average day / night
+0.3°
Above average
8 / 8
Wet days / normal
58 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+15.4°
+14.3°
+1.1°
17 October – 26 October
+12.3°
+13.1°
-0.8°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+12.1°
—
October records over 66 years
+22.2°1 October 2011All-time high
-0.5°30 October 2018All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Swansea / Abertawe (4.7 km away).
Thu, 08+10 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Black Pill, Thursday, 8 October
Partly cloudy. High 16°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1026 mb
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Fri, 09+11 ° /16 °6
+16 °
Black Pill, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 16°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind23 mph SW
Humidity95%
Visibility3.4 mi
Dew point15°C
Sat, 10+10 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Black Pill, Saturday, 10 October
Partly cloudy. High 13°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+8 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Black Pill, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind4 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Mon, 12+12 ° /17 °5.5
+17 °
Black Pill, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind17 mph S
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point14°C
Tue, 13+15 ° /17 °12.8
+17 °
Black Pill, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 17°C, low 15°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind18 mph S
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point16°C
Wed, 14+13 ° /16 °0.7
+16 °
Black Pill, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1029 mb
Wind12 mph NE
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Thu, 15+13 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Black Pill, Thursday, 15 October
Mainly clear. High 16°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind13 mph SE
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Fri, 16+11 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Black Pill, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind18 mph SE
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Sat, 17+11 ° /14 °13.8
+14 °
Black Pill, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind23 mph SW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Sun, 18+11 ° /13 °9.7
+13 °
Black Pill, Sunday, 18 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1002 mb
Wind24 mph SE
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Mon, 19+9 ° /11 °2.9
+11 °
Black Pill, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 9°C.
Pressure999 mb
Wind13 mph NE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Tue, 20+7 ° /11 °0
+11 °
Black Pill, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1002 mb
Wind17 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Wed, 21+8 ° /12 °0.2
+12 °
Black Pill, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind21 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Thu, 22+9 ° /13 °4.4
+13 °
Black Pill, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind20 mph N
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+9 ° /13 °3.8
+13 °
Black Pill, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+17° (2011)
Coldest on record+3° (1987)
Sat, 24+9 ° /13 °5.7
+13 °
Black Pill, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5.7 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+16° (1995)
Coldest on record+2° (1987)
Sun, 25+9 ° /13 °5.2
+13 °
Black Pill, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5.2 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2022)
Coldest on record+1° (2010)
Mon, 26+9 ° /13 °3.5
+13 °
Black Pill, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3.5 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+4° (2003)
Tue, 27+9 ° /13 °5
+13 °
Black Pill, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+18° (2022)
Coldest on record+2° (1962)
Wed, 28+9 ° /13 °4.8
+13 °
Black Pill, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.8 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record+2° (2018)
Thu, 29+9 ° /12 °4.8
+12 °
Black Pill, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.8 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record+0° (2018)
Fri, 30+9 ° /13 °5.2
+13 °
Black Pill, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5.2 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+17° (2015)
Coldest on record0° (2018)
Sat, 31+9 ° /13 °5.6
+13 °
Black Pill, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5.6 mm
Chance of rain65%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record+2° (1966)
Sun, 01+9 ° /12 °5
+12 °
Black Pill, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+16° (2009)
Coldest on record+2° (2008)
Mon, 02+8 ° /12 °5.7
+12 °
Black Pill, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall5.7 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (2018)
Tue, 03+8 ° /12 °4.3
+12 °
Black Pill, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+15° (2011)
Coldest on record+1° (1985)
Wed, 04+8 ° /11 °3.1
+11 °
Black Pill, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+15° (2025)
Coldest on record+0° (2006)
Thu, 05+8 ° /11 °3.4
+11 °
Black Pill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.4 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record+3° (2006)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Black Pill are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Black Pill since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.