As of 15:12 BST

Weather in Stoke Park

+13°

Stoke Park, Wednesday, 7 October, 15:12

Overcast. Feels like 12°C. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity86%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point10°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Stoke Park: daytime temperatures averaging +13.9° and +7.8° overnight — that is 0.4° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 8 days (around 72 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 32 mm. The warmest day should be 15 October (+17.6°), the coolest 21 October (+5.9°).

+13.9°/+7.8°

Average day / night

+0.4°

Above average

8 / 6

Wet days / normal

72 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+15.5°	+14°	+1.5°
17 October – 26 October	+11.3°	+12.6°	-1.3°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+11.4°	—

October records over 66 years

+26.1°1 October 2011All-time high

-3.1°16 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Keresley (5.2 km away).

Thu, 08+8 ° /15 °

0.4

+15 °

Stoke Park, Thursday, 8 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity54%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point3°C

Fri, 09+10 ° /17 °

1.7

+17 °

Stoke Park, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind15 mph SW

Humidity85%

Visibility4.2 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /13 °

0.7

+13 °

Stoke Park, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind16 mph W

Humidity52%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point4°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /14 °

+14 °

Stoke Park, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind8 mph W

Humidity65%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Mon, 12+7 ° /17 °

0.8

+17 °

Stoke Park, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind12 mph S

Humidity86%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Tue, 13+10 ° /17 °

3.3

+17 °

Stoke Park, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind16 mph NW

Humidity78%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Wed, 14+8 ° /17 °

+17 °

Stoke Park, Wednesday, 14 October

Clear sky. High 17°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind9 mph SW

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Thu, 15+9 ° /18 °

+18 °

Stoke Park, Thursday, 15 October

Partly cloudy. High 18°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind17 mph SW

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Fri, 16+6 ° /13 °

+13 °

Stoke Park, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind7 mph SE

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Sat, 17+9 ° /13 °

+13 °

Stoke Park, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind9 mph W

Humidity96%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Sun, 18+6 ° /14 °

4.8

+14 °

Stoke Park, Sunday, 18 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1006 mb

Wind20 mph SE

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Mon, 19+8 ° /10 °

+10 °

Stoke Park, Monday, 19 October

Heavy rain. High 10°C, low 8°C.

Pressure999 mb

Wind18 mph N

Humidity83%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Tue, 20+6 ° /10 °

23.6

+10 °

Stoke Park, Tuesday, 20 October

Heavy rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1000 mb

Wind24 mph NW

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Wed, 21+6 ° /11 °

0.2

+11 °

Stoke Park, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1004 mb

Wind21 mph NW

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Thu, 22+6 ° /10 °

2.6

+10 °

Stoke Park, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind14 mph W

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+7 ° /13 °

1.6

+13 °

Stoke Park, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.6 mm

Chance of rain25%

Warmest on record+18° (2011)

Coldest on record+1° (1987)

Sat, 24+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Stoke Park, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record-1° (1964)

Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °

1.6

+12 °

Stoke Park, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.6 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+17° (2013)

Coldest on record-1° (2010)

Mon, 26+7 ° /12 °

1.7

+12 °

Stoke Park, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record-1° (1997)

Tue, 27+7 ° /13 °

2.1

+13 °

Stoke Park, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Wed, 28+7 ° /12 °

1.7

+12 °

Stoke Park, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (2019)

Thu, 29+6 ° /11 °

1.3

+11 °

Stoke Park, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain27%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record-2° (2008)

Fri, 30+6 ° /12 °

+12 °

Stoke Park, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+18° (2001)

Coldest on record-1° (1997)

Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °

2.6

+12 °

Stoke Park, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.6 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1974)

Sun, 01+6 ° /12 °

2.1

+12 °

Stoke Park, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+16° (2020)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °

3.5

+11 °

Stoke Park, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.5 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (2006)

Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °

1.6

+11 °

Stoke Park, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.6 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+15° (1996)

Coldest on record-2° (1985)

Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °

1.9

+10 °

Stoke Park, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1966)

Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °

1.9

+10 °

Stoke Park, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-3° (1988)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Stoke Park are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Stoke Park since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.