As of 16:33 BST

Weather in Stoke Mandeville

+11°

Stoke Mandeville, Wednesday, 7 October, 16:33

Overcast. Feels like 10°C. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind1 mph N

Humidity92%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point9°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Stoke Mandeville: daytime temperatures averaging +15° and +7.9° overnight — that is 0.8° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 8 days (around 45 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 33 mm. The warmest day should be 15 October (+18.3°), the coolest 21 October (+4.5°).

+15°/+7.9°

Average day / night

+0.8°

Above average

8 / 6

Wet days / normal

45 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+15.9°	+14.6°	+1.3°
17 October – 26 October	+13.4°	+13.2°	+0.2°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+12°	—

October records over 66 years

+25.8°1 October 2011All-time high

-2.8°29 October 1997All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Aylesbury (3.7 km away).

Thu, 08+7 ° /16 °

0.1

+16 °

Stoke Mandeville, Thursday, 8 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind12 mph NW

Humidity55%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point3°C

Fri, 09+10 ° /17 °

3.2

+17 °

Stoke Mandeville, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind24 mph SW

Humidity78%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point13°C

Sat, 10+8 ° /14 °

0.6

+14 °

Stoke Mandeville, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind16 mph W

Humidity61%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /14 °

+14 °

Stoke Mandeville, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind10 mph W

Humidity66%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Mon, 12+7 ° /17 °

0.1

+17 °

Stoke Mandeville, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind16 mph S

Humidity86%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Tue, 13+10 ° /17 °

2.9

+17 °

Stoke Mandeville, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind16 mph W

Humidity85%

Visibility—

Dew point14°C

Wed, 14+8 ° /17 °

+17 °

Stoke Mandeville, Wednesday, 14 October

Clear sky. High 17°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind8 mph SW

Humidity55%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Thu, 15+9 ° /18 °

+18 °

Stoke Mandeville, Thursday, 15 October

Mainly clear. High 18°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind16 mph SW

Humidity53%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Fri, 16+6 ° /14 °

+14 °

Stoke Mandeville, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind7 mph SE

Humidity53%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Sat, 17+11 ° /17 °

1.5

+17 °

Stoke Mandeville, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind12 mph S

Humidity79%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Sun, 18+9 ° /16 °

+16 °

Stoke Mandeville, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Mon, 19+9 ° /15 °

8.4

+15 °

Stoke Mandeville, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1001 mb

Wind22 mph S

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Tue, 20+6 ° /10 °

12.8

+10 °

Stoke Mandeville, Tuesday, 20 October

Rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.

Pressure998 mb

Wind16 mph SW

Humidity92%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Wed, 21+4 ° /11 °

1.1

+11 °

Stoke Mandeville, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1006 mb

Wind10 mph W

Humidity83%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Thu, 22+5 ° /12 °

3.8

+12 °

Stoke Mandeville, Thursday, 22 October

Rain. High 12°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind17 mph SE

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+7 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Stoke Mandeville, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain23%

Warmest on record+18° (1963)

Coldest on record+2° (1981)

Sat, 24+7 ° /13 °

2.3

+13 °

Stoke Mandeville, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+18° (2017)

Coldest on record0° (1964)

Sun, 25+7 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Stoke Mandeville, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+17° (2013)

Coldest on record+0° (2010)

Mon, 26+7 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Stoke Mandeville, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1997)

Tue, 27+7 ° /13 °

1.6

+13 °

Stoke Mandeville, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.6 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Wed, 28+7 ° /13 °

2.2

+13 °

Stoke Mandeville, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (2003)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

1.3

+12 °

Stoke Mandeville, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain28%

Warmest on record+20° (2022)

Coldest on record-3° (1997)

Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °

1.5

+12 °

Stoke Mandeville, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain28%

Warmest on record+19° (2001)

Coldest on record-2° (1997)

Sat, 31+7 ° /13 °

2.3

+13 °

Stoke Mandeville, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+20° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1997)

Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °

2.3

+12 °

Stoke Mandeville, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+17° (1999)

Coldest on record-2° (1988)

Mon, 02+6 ° /12 °

3.2

+12 °

Stoke Mandeville, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (1985)

Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °

1.4

+11 °

Stoke Mandeville, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.4 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+16° (1969)

Coldest on record-3° (1985)

Wed, 04+5 ° /11 °

2.5

+11 °

Stoke Mandeville, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+15° (2010)

Coldest on record-3° (1966)

Thu, 05+5 ° /11 °

1.5

+11 °

Stoke Mandeville, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain27%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1968)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Stoke Mandeville are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Stoke Mandeville since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.