The month ahead in Stoke Ash: daytime temperatures averaging +15.5° and +8.9° overnight — that is 0.9° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 6 days (around 60 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 30 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+20.3°), the coolest 12 October (+6.2°).
+15.5°/+8.9°
Average day / night
+0.9°
Above average
6 / 6
Wet days / normal
60 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+16.5°
+15°
+1.5°
17 October – 26 October
+13.7°
+13.6°
+0.1°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+12.3°
—
October records over 66 years
+25.8°2 October 2011All-time high
-2.3°31 October 1997All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Eye (4.7 km away).
Thu, 08+7 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Stoke Ash, Thursday, 8 October
Mainly clear. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind14 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Fri, 09+9 ° /19 °3
+19 °
Stoke Ash, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 19°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind19 mph SW
Humidity76%
Visibility5.4 mi
Dew point13°C
Sat, 10+9 ° /15 °0.2
+15 °
Stoke Ash, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind17 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Sun, 11+7 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Stoke Ash, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind13 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Mon, 12+6 ° /16 °0.6
+16 °
Stoke Ash, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind14 mph S
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Tue, 13+11 ° /20 °1.8
+20 °
Stoke Ash, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 20°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind18 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point15°C
Wed, 14+8 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Stoke Ash, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear sky. High 17°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1031 mb
Wind8 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Thu, 15+10 ° /19 °0
+19 °
Stoke Ash, Thursday, 15 October
Clear sky. High 19°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind15 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Fri, 16+8 ° /16 °0.2
+16 °
Stoke Ash, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind12 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Sat, 17+11 ° /17 °0.5
+17 °
Stoke Ash, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind17 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Sun, 18+9 ° /16 °0.8
+16 °
Stoke Ash, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind21 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Mon, 19+12 ° /14 °9.4
+14 °
Stoke Ash, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 12°C.
Pressure998 mb
Wind9 mph E
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Tue, 20+9 ° /12 °0.4
+12 °
Stoke Ash, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.
Pressure996 mb
Wind20 mph NW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Wed, 21+7 ° /10 °33.6
+10 °
Stoke Ash, Wednesday, 21 October
Rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.
Pressure997 mb
Wind30 mph W
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Thu, 22+7 ° /12 °5.2
+12 °
Stoke Ash, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind19 mph W
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+8 ° /13 °1.3
+13 °
Stoke Ash, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.3 mm
Chance of rain30%
Warmest on record+17° (1989)
Coldest on record+2° (2003)
Sat, 24+8 ° /14 °1.7
+14 °
Stoke Ash, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high14°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.7 mm
Chance of rain28%
Warmest on record+19° (2017)
Coldest on record+1° (2003)
Sun, 25+8 ° /14 °1.4
+14 °
Stoke Ash, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high14°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.4 mm
Chance of rain32%
Warmest on record+18° (2013)
Coldest on record+0° (1987)
Mon, 26+8 ° /13 °1.1
+13 °
Stoke Ash, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.1 mm
Chance of rain30%
Warmest on record+19° (2022)
Coldest on record+1° (1964)
Tue, 27+8 ° /13 °1.6
+13 °
Stoke Ash, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.6 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+20° (2022)
Coldest on record0° (1984)
Wed, 28+8 ° /13 °1.9
+13 °
Stoke Ash, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+19° (2022)
Coldest on record+1° (2012)
Thu, 29+7 ° /13 °1.3
+13 °
Stoke Ash, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.3 mm
Chance of rain32%
Warmest on record+19° (2022)
Coldest on record-2° (2008)
Fri, 30+7 ° /13 °1.3
+13 °
Stoke Ash, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.3 mm
Chance of rain30%
Warmest on record+20° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1983)
Sat, 31+7 ° /13 °1.7
+13 °
Stoke Ash, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.7 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record-2° (1997)
Sun, 01+7 ° /13 °1.8
+13 °
Stoke Ash, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.8 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+17° (1999)
Coldest on record-1° (1997)
Mon, 02+7 ° /12 °2.2
+12 °
Stoke Ash, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain32%
Warmest on record+18° (2020)
Coldest on record-1° (1985)
Tue, 03+7 ° /12 °1.4
+12 °
Stoke Ash, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.4 mm
Chance of rain30%
Warmest on record+17° (1996)
Coldest on record-3° (1985)
Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °1.9
+11 °
Stoke Ash, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+17° (2010)
Coldest on record0° (1976)
Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °1.3
+11 °
Stoke Ash, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.3 mm
Chance of rain32%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record-3° (1988)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Stoke Ash are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Stoke Ash since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.