The month ahead in South Heath: daytime temperatures averaging +15.7° and +11.8° overnight — that is 1.3° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 4 days (around 28 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 33 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+19.8°), the coolest 8 October (+7.1°).
+15.7°/+11.8°
Average day / night
+1.3°
Above average
4 / 6
Wet days / normal
28 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
8 October – 17 October
+16.1°
+14.8°
+1.3°
18 October – 27 October
+15°
+13.6°
+1.4°
28 October – 6 November
near average
+12.2°
—
October records over 66 years
+24.2°2 October 2011All-time high
+0.8°29 October 2008All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Brightlingsea (4.2 km away).
Fri, 09+10 ° /19 °2.9
+19 °
South Heath, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 19°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind17 mph SW
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point14°C
Sat, 10+10 ° /14 °0
+14 °
South Heath, Saturday, 10 October
Partly cloudy. High 14°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Sun, 11+8 ° /15 °0
+15 °
South Heath, Sunday, 11 October
Partly cloudy. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind11 mph W
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Mon, 12+9 ° /17 °1
+17 °
South Heath, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind14 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Tue, 13+16 ° /20 °0.2
+20 °
South Heath, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 20°C, low 16°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind14 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point15°C
Wed, 14+12 ° /16 °0.3
+16 °
South Heath, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind8 mph N
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Thu, 15+13 ° /17 °0.4
+17 °
South Heath, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind15 mph N
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Fri, 16+12 ° /14 °0.6
+14 °
South Heath, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1017 mb
Wind20 mph N
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Sat, 17+12 ° /16 °1.1
+16 °
South Heath, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind18 mph N
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Sun, 18+12 ° /15 °0.5
+15 °
South Heath, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind11 mph W
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Mon, 19+12 ° /15 °21.1
+15 °
South Heath, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind14 mph S
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point13°C
Tue, 20+14 ° /15 °0
+15 °
South Heath, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 14°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind14 mph SE
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Wed, 21+14 ° /16 °0
+16 °
South Heath, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 14°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind16 mph E
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Thu, 22+14 ° /15 °0
+15 °
South Heath, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 14°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind18 mph E
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Fri, 23+13 ° /14 °0
+14 °
South Heath, Friday, 23 October
Clear sky. High 14°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind19 mph E
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 24+9 ° /14 °1.7
+14 °
South Heath, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high14°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall1.7 mm
Chance of rain32%
Warmest on record+19° (1995)
Coldest on record+2° (1964)
Sun, 25+9 ° /14 °1.4
+14 °
South Heath, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high14°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall1.4 mm
Chance of rain32%
Warmest on record+18° (2013)
Coldest on record+3° (2003)
Mon, 26+9 ° /13 °1.3
+13 °
South Heath, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall1.3 mm
Chance of rain32%
Warmest on record+19° (2022)
Coldest on record+4° (1964)
Tue, 27+9 ° /13 °1.7
+13 °
South Heath, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall1.7 mm
Chance of rain33%
Warmest on record+21° (2022)
Coldest on record+2° (1984)
Wed, 28+9 ° /13 °2.4
+13 °
South Heath, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+19° (2022)
Coldest on record+2° (2012)
Thu, 29+8 ° /13 °1.5
+13 °
South Heath, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.5 mm
Chance of rain33%
Warmest on record+19° (2022)
Coldest on record+1° (2008)
Fri, 30+8 ° /13 °1.4
+13 °
South Heath, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.4 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+19° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (1983)
Sat, 31+9 ° /13 °2.1
+13 °
South Heath, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain33%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record+2° (1992)
Sun, 01+8 ° /13 °2
+13 °
South Heath, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+17° (1999)
Coldest on record+3° (1988)
Mon, 02+8 ° /12 °2.5
+12 °
South Heath, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain30%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (1985)
Tue, 03+8 ° /12 °1.9
+12 °
South Heath, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain33%
Warmest on record+16° (1996)
Coldest on record0° (1985)
Wed, 04+7 ° /12 °2.1
+12 °
South Heath, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+16° (2010)
Coldest on record+2° (1966)
Thu, 05+7 ° /11 °1.4
+11 °
South Heath, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.4 mm
Chance of rain33%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record+1° (1988)
Fri, 06+7 ° /11 °2.3
+11 °
South Heath, Friday, 6 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain33%
Warmest on record+17° (2025)
Coldest on record+1° (2017)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for South Heath are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in South Heath since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.