The month ahead in Smithy Moor: daytime temperatures averaging +13.1° and +6.7° overnight — that is 0.2° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 9 days (around 29 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 36 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+17.3°), the coolest 17 October (+3.2°).
+13.1°/+6.7°
Average day / night
+0.2°
Above average
9 / 6
Wet days / normal
29 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
8 October – 17 October
+13.2°
+13.3°
-0.1°
18 October – 27 October
+12.8°
+12°
+0.8°
28 October – 6 November
near average
+10.7°
—
October records over 66 years
+25.6°1 October 2011All-time high
-3.5°29 October 1997All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Wingerworth (6.2 km away).
Fri, 09+9 ° /15 °6.6
+15 °
Smithy Moor, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind17 mph SW
Humidity90%
Visibility4.0 mi
Dew point13°C
Sat, 10+8 ° /11 °1.9
+11 °
Smithy Moor, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind19 mph W
Humidity75%
Visibility5.8 mi
Dew point6°C
Sun, 11+7 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Smithy Moor, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind11 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Mon, 12+6 ° /14 °1.4
+14 °
Smithy Moor, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind11 mph S
Humidity87%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point10°C
Tue, 13+9 ° /17 °1.1
+17 °
Smithy Moor, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind18 mph SW
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point15°C
Wed, 14+8 ° /15 °1.2
+15 °
Smithy Moor, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind19 mph SW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Thu, 15+6 ° /11 °2
+11 °
Smithy Moor, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1017 mb
Wind19 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Fri, 16+6 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Smithy Moor, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind13 mph W
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Sat, 17+3 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Smithy Moor, Saturday, 17 October
Partly cloudy. High 12°C, low 3°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind7 mph SE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Sun, 18+8 ° /9 °11.4
+9 °
Smithy Moor, Sunday, 18 October
Rain. High 9°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind12 mph S
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Mon, 19+8 ° /12 °1.1
+12 °
Smithy Moor, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind9 mph E
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Tue, 20+6 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Smithy Moor, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 13°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1033 mb
Wind7 mph N
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Wed, 21+6 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Smithy Moor, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1032 mb
Wind4 mph E
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Thu, 22+7 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Smithy Moor, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1027 mb
Wind6 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Fri, 23+6 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Smithy Moor, Friday, 23 October
Clear sky. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind6 mph S
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 24+6 ° /12 °2.8
+12 °
Smithy Moor, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record-1° (1964)
Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °2.4
+12 °
Smithy Moor, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+16° (2013)
Coldest on record-1° (2010)
Mon, 26+7 ° /12 °2.3
+12 °
Smithy Moor, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain32%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record0° (1981)
Tue, 27+7 ° /12 °3.2
+12 °
Smithy Moor, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.2 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+19° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1962)
Wed, 28+6 ° /12 °2.1
+12 °
Smithy Moor, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1997)
Thu, 29+6 ° /11 °1.5
+11 °
Smithy Moor, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.5 mm
Chance of rain32%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record-3° (1997)
Fri, 30+6 ° /11 °2.1
+11 °
Smithy Moor, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+17° (2001)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °2.7
+12 °
Smithy Moor, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.7 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1992)
Sun, 01+6 ° /11 °2.5
+11 °
Smithy Moor, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+16° (2020)
Coldest on record+0° (1988)
Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °3.8
+11 °
Smithy Moor, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1985)
Tue, 03+5 ° /10 °2.5
+10 °
Smithy Moor, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+15° (1979)
Coldest on record-3° (1985)
Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °1.9
+10 °
Smithy Moor, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+15° (2010)
Coldest on record-2° (1966)
Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °2.2
+10 °
Smithy Moor, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (1968)
Fri, 06+5 ° /10 °2.2
+10 °
Smithy Moor, Friday, 6 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+16° (1972)
Coldest on record-1° (1965)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Smithy Moor are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Smithy Moor since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.