The month ahead in Silpho: daytime temperatures averaging +12.9° and +7.6° overnight — that is 0.2° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 10 days (around 83 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 36 mm. The warmest day should be 15 October (+16.1°), the coolest 12 October (+4.5°).
+12.9°/+7.6°
Average day / night
−0.2°
Below average
10 / 7
Wet days / normal
83 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+13.9°
+13.5°
+0.4°
17 October – 26 October
+11.2°
+12.3°
-1.2°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+11.3°
—
October records over 66 years
+22.9°3 October 2011All-time high
+0.7°29 October 2008All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Scarborough (8.4 km away).
Thu, 08+6 ° /12 °2.7
+12 °
Silpho, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point4°C
Fri, 09+8 ° /16 °6.3
+16 °
Silpho, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 16°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind16 mph W
Humidity83%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point13°C
Sat, 10+8 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Silpho, Saturday, 10 October
Partly cloudy. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind19 mph W
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Sun, 11+6 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Silpho, Sunday, 11 October
Partly cloudy. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind8 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Mon, 12+5 ° /14 °0.6
+14 °
Silpho, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind14 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Tue, 13+12 ° /15 °1
+15 °
Silpho, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind18 mph S
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Wed, 14+9 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Silpho, Wednesday, 14 October
Mainly clear. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Thu, 15+8 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Silpho, Thursday, 15 October
Partly cloudy. High 16°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1025 mb
Wind10 mph SE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Fri, 16+10 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Silpho, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind15 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Sat, 17+9 ° /15 °1
+15 °
Silpho, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind18 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Sun, 18+6 ° /13 °4.4
+13 °
Silpho, Sunday, 18 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind19 mph SE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Mon, 19+9 ° /12 °17.3
+12 °
Silpho, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.
Pressure999 mb
Wind16 mph N
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Tue, 20+6 ° /9 °5.2
+9 °
Silpho, Tuesday, 20 October
Rain. High 9°C, low 6°C.
Pressure998 mb
Wind21 mph NW
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Wed, 21+7 ° /9 °33.4
+9 °
Silpho, Wednesday, 21 October
Rain. High 9°C, low 7°C.
Pressure998 mb
Wind34 mph NW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Thu, 22+6 ° /10 °6.9
+10 °
Silpho, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind25 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+8 ° /12 °1.5
+12 °
Silpho, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.5 mm
Chance of rain33%
Warmest on record+16° (1971)
Coldest on record+3° (1987)
Sat, 24+8 ° /12 °2.8
+12 °
Silpho, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record+3° (1987)
Sun, 25+8 ° /12 °3
+12 °
Silpho, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+16° (2013)
Coldest on record+3° (1992)
Mon, 26+8 ° /12 °2
+12 °
Silpho, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2 mm
Chance of rain33%
Warmest on record+18° (2022)
Coldest on record+2° (2012)
Tue, 27+8 ° /12 °2.9
+12 °
Silpho, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (1962)
Wed, 28+8 ° /12 °2.4
+12 °
Silpho, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record+2° (2008)
Thu, 29+7 ° /11 °1.8
+11 °
Silpho, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.8 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+16° (2022)
Coldest on record+1° (2008)
Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °2.1
+12 °
Silpho, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (1992)
Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °2.6
+12 °
Silpho, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record+2° (2018)
Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °2.2
+12 °
Silpho, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+16° (2020)
Coldest on record+3° (1962)
Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °3.6
+11 °
Silpho, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.6 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+17° (2020)
Coldest on record+2° (1998)
Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °2.8
+11 °
Silpho, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record0° (1985)
Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °2.2
+11 °
Silpho, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+16° (2010)
Coldest on record+1° (1966)
Thu, 05+7 ° /11 °2.4
+11 °
Silpho, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record+2° (1988)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Silpho are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Silpho since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.