As of 09:05 BST

Weather in Shellow Bowells

+14°

Shellow Bowells, Wednesday, 7 October, 09:05

Overcast. Feels like 14°C. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind7 mph NW

Humidity96%

Visibility1.5 mi

Dew point13°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Shellow Bowells: daytime temperatures averaging +16.7° and +9.6° overnight — that is 2.2° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 2 days (around 8 mm), against a normal of 5 days and 32 mm. The warmest day should be 17 October (+20.5°), the coolest 12 October (+5.7°).

+16.7°/+9.6°

Average day / night

+2.2°

Above average

2 / 5

Wet days / normal

8 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+16.6°	+15°	+1.6°
17 October – 26 October	+16.9°	+13.6°	+3.3°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+12.3°	—

October records over 66 years

+25.8°2 October 2011All-time high

-1.7°29 October 2008All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Chipping Ongar (7.3 km away).

Thu, 08+6 ° /16 °

+16 °

Shellow Bowells, Thursday, 8 October

Clear sky. High 16°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind13 mph NW

Humidity51%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point3°C

Fri, 09+10 ° /19 °

1.2

+19 °

Shellow Bowells, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 19°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind21 mph W

Humidity69%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point13°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /15 °

+15 °

Shellow Bowells, Saturday, 10 October

Partly cloudy. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind14 mph W

Humidity57%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Sun, 11+8 ° /15 °

+15 °

Shellow Bowells, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind11 mph W

Humidity55%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Mon, 12+6 ° /16 °

+16 °

Shellow Bowells, Monday, 12 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind11 mph S

Humidity58%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Tue, 13+14 ° /17 °

0.5

+17 °

Shellow Bowells, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 14°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind13 mph S

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Wed, 14+11 ° /16 °

0.5

+16 °

Shellow Bowells, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1028 mb

Wind10 mph N

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Thu, 15+10 ° /18 °

+18 °

Shellow Bowells, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 18°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind6 mph SW

Humidity40%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Fri, 16+10 ° /19 °

+19 °

Shellow Bowells, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 19°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind13 mph S

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Sat, 17+11 ° /21 °

+21 °

Shellow Bowells, Saturday, 17 October

Mainly clear. High 21°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind13 mph S

Humidity44%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Sun, 18+12 ° /17 °

+17 °

Shellow Bowells, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 17°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind10 mph E

Humidity50%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Mon, 19+10 ° /18 °

+18 °

Shellow Bowells, Monday, 19 October

Partly cloudy. High 18°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind8 mph N

Humidity54%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Tue, 20+11 ° /15 °

+15 °

Shellow Bowells, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind10 mph N

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Wed, 21+8 ° /15 °

+15 °

Shellow Bowells, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind8 mph NE

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Thu, 22+8 ° /15 °

+15 °

Shellow Bowells, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1028 mb

Wind13 mph NE

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+8 ° /14 °

1.3

+14 °

Shellow Bowells, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain27%

Warmest on record+18° (1963)

Coldest on record+3° (1987)

Sat, 24+8 ° /14 °

1.8

+14 °

Shellow Bowells, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+18° (1995)

Coldest on record+1° (1964)

Sun, 25+8 ° /14 °

1.3

+14 °

Shellow Bowells, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+18° (2013)

Coldest on record+0° (1997)

Mon, 26+8 ° /13 °

1.1

+13 °

Shellow Bowells, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.1 mm

Chance of rain27%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+1° (2010)

Tue, 27+8 ° /13 °

1.4

+13 °

Shellow Bowells, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.4 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+20° (2022)

Coldest on record0° (1962)

Wed, 28+7 ° /13 °

2.2

+13 °

Shellow Bowells, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record+1° (2012)

Thu, 29+7 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Shellow Bowells, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain27%

Warmest on record+20° (2022)

Coldest on record-2° (2008)

Fri, 30+7 ° /13 °

1.2

+13 °

Shellow Bowells, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.2 mm

Chance of rain27%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1983)

Sat, 31+7 ° /13 °

1.9

+13 °

Shellow Bowells, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+20° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1997)

Sun, 01+7 ° /13 °

2.1

+13 °

Shellow Bowells, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+17° (1999)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /12 °

2.5

+12 °

Shellow Bowells, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (1985)

Tue, 03+6 ° /12 °

1.6

+12 °

Shellow Bowells, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.6 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+16° (1996)

Coldest on record-3° (1985)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

2.4

+11 °

Shellow Bowells, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+16° (2010)

Coldest on record-1° (1966)

Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °

1.2

+11 °

Shellow Bowells, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.2 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+17° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1988)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Shellow Bowells are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Shellow Bowells since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.