As of 22:45 BST

Weather in Shard End

+9°

Shard End, Wednesday, 7 October, 22:45

Mainly clear. Feels like 6°C. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind9 mph NW

Humidity85%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Shard End: daytime temperatures averaging +14.3° and +8.8° overnight — that is 0.5° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 6 days (around 26 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 33 mm. The warmest day should be 9 October (+18.6°), the coolest 22 October (+5.9°).

+14.3°/+8.8°

Average day / night

+0.5°

Above average

6 / 6

Wet days / normal

26 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+15.2°	+14.3°	+0.9°
17 October – 26 October	+12.9°	+12.9°	-0°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+11.7°	—

October records over 66 years

+26.5°1 October 2011All-time high

-2.8°17 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Castle Vale (3 km away).

Thu, 08+7 ° /15 °

0.6

+15 °

Shard End, Thursday, 8 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind9 mph NW

Humidity64%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Fri, 09+10 ° /19 °

2.1

+19 °

Shard End, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 19°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1008 mb

Wind13 mph SW

Humidity86%

Visibility4.4 mi

Dew point13°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /13 °

0.2

+13 °

Shard End, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind14 mph W

Humidity61%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Shard End, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind7 mph W

Humidity65%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Mon, 12+7 ° /16 °

0.4

+16 °

Shard End, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind12 mph S

Humidity79%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Tue, 13+12 ° /18 °

1.7

+18 °

Shard End, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind12 mph SW

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point14°C

Wed, 14+10 ° /18 °

+18 °

Shard End, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 18°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind9 mph SW

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Thu, 15+10 ° /14 °

0.8

+14 °

Shard End, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind12 mph SW

Humidity84%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Fri, 16+8 ° /14 °

+14 °

Shard End, Friday, 16 October

Partly cloudy. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind5 mph S

Humidity48%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Sat, 17+10 ° /13 °

6.5

+13 °

Shard End, Saturday, 17 October

Rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind15 mph S

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Sun, 18+6 ° /12 °

+12 °

Shard End, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 12°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind10 mph W

Humidity44%

Visibility—

Dew point-1°C

Mon, 19+10 ° /14 °

1.5

+14 °

Shard End, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind16 mph SW

Humidity89%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Tue, 20+12 ° /17 °

0.1

+17 °

Shard End, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind19 mph W

Humidity80%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Wed, 21+8 ° /11 °

0.9

+11 °

Shard End, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind17 mph NW

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Thu, 22+6 ° /9 °

4.7

+9 °

Shard End, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 9°C, low 6°C.

Pressure994 mb

Wind16 mph NW

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+7 ° /13 °

1.6

+13 °

Shard End, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.6 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+18° (2011)

Coldest on record0° (1987)

Sat, 24+7 ° /13 °

2.1

+13 °

Shard End, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+18° (1995)

Coldest on record-1° (1964)

Sun, 25+7 ° /13 °

1.8

+13 °

Shard End, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+17° (2013)

Coldest on record-2° (2010)

Mon, 26+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Shard End, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1997)

Tue, 27+7 ° /13 °

2.4

+13 °

Shard End, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Wed, 28+7 ° /12 °

1.5

+12 °

Shard End, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (2019)

Thu, 29+6 ° /12 °

1.3

+12 °

Shard End, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain28%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record-3° (1997)

Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °

2.2

+12 °

Shard End, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+18° (2001)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °

2.8

+12 °

Shard End, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.8 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+20° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1974)

Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Shard End, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record-2° (1988)

Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °

3.6

+11 °

Shard End, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.6 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2006)

Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °

1.7

+11 °

Shard End, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+16° (1996)

Coldest on record-3° (1985)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

+11 °

Shard End, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+16° (1971)

Coldest on record-2° (1966)

Thu, 05+5 ° /11 °

2.1

+11 °

Shard End, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1988)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Shard End are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Shard End since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.