The month ahead in Rise Carr: daytime temperatures averaging +13° and +7.1° overnight — that is 0.5° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 7 days (around 30 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 30 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+17.9°), the coolest 22 October (+3.4°).
+13°/+7.1°
Average day / night
+0.5°
Above average
7 / 6
Wet days / normal
30 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+14.1°
+12.9°
+1.1°
17 October – 26 October
+11.1°
+11.6°
-0.5°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+10.5°
—
October records over 66 years
+24°1 October 2011All-time high
-3.4°15 October 1981All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Newton Aycliffe (8.6 km away).
Thu, 08+5 ° /13 °2.2
+13 °
Rise Carr, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind8 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point3°C
Fri, 09+10 ° /15 °2.6
+15 °
Rise Carr, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1003 mb
Wind14 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sat, 10+9 ° /11 °0.6
+11 °
Rise Carr, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity66%
Visibility5.7 mi
Dew point5°C
Sun, 11+6 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Rise Carr, Sunday, 11 October
Partly cloudy. High 13°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind9 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Mon, 12+5 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Rise Carr, Monday, 12 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind14 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Tue, 13+9 ° /18 °1.7
+18 °
Rise Carr, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 18°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind15 mph S
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Wed, 14+7 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Rise Carr, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind15 mph SW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Thu, 15+7 ° /14 °0.2
+14 °
Rise Carr, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind19 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Fri, 16+6 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Rise Carr, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind11 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Sat, 17+6 ° /10 °10.3
+10 °
Rise Carr, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind15 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Sun, 18+5 ° /11 °0
+11 °
Rise Carr, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 11°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind18 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Mon, 19+10 ° /13 °3.6
+13 °
Rise Carr, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind22 mph SW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Tue, 20+10 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Rise Carr, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind27 mph W
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Wed, 21+8 ° /10 °0.7
+10 °
Rise Carr, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1000 mb
Wind26 mph W
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point1°C
Thu, 22+3 ° /8 °2.7
+8 °
Rise Carr, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 8°C, low 3°C.
Pressure989 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+6 ° /11 °1.4
+11 °
Rise Carr, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.4 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+16° (1996)
Coldest on record-1° (1993)
Sat, 24+6 ° /12 °2.1
+12 °
Rise Carr, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+17° (2017)
Coldest on record-1° (1964)
Sun, 25+6 ° /11 °2.5
+11 °
Rise Carr, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+16° (1969)
Coldest on record-1° (2010)
Mon, 26+6 ° /11 °1.2
+11 °
Rise Carr, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.2 mm
Chance of rain33%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record-1° (1992)
Tue, 27+6 ° /11 °2.1
+11 °
Rise Carr, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1962)
Wed, 28+6 ° /11 °2
+11 °
Rise Carr, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (2008)
Thu, 29+5 ° /10 °1.5
+10 °
Rise Carr, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall1.5 mm
Chance of rain28%
Warmest on record+16° (1984)
Coldest on record-2° (1997)
Fri, 30+5 ° /11 °1.7
+11 °
Rise Carr, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall1.7 mm
Chance of rain33%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (2008)
Sat, 31+6 ° /11 °2.1
+11 °
Rise Carr, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record-2° (1992)
Sun, 01+6 ° /11 °2.3
+11 °
Rise Carr, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1962)
Mon, 02+5 ° /10 °2.8
+10 °
Rise Carr, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+16° (2020)
Coldest on record-1° (1998)
Tue, 03+5 ° /10 °2.6
+10 °
Rise Carr, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+15° (2011)
Coldest on record-3° (1985)
Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °1.6
+10 °
Rise Carr, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall1.6 mm
Chance of rain30%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record-1° (2012)
Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °1.8
+10 °
Rise Carr, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall1.8 mm
Chance of rain32%
Warmest on record+17° (2025)
Coldest on record-1° (2013)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Rise Carr are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Rise Carr since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.