The month ahead in Pontbren Llwyd: daytime temperatures averaging +12.3° and +6.9° overnight — that is 0.9° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 9 days (around 56 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 62 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+14.8°), the coolest 16 October (+4.5°).
+12.3°/+6.9°
Average day / night
−0.9°
Below average
9 / 7
Wet days / normal
56 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
8 October – 17 October
+12.2°
+13.6°
-1.4°
18 October – 27 October
+12.5°
+12.4°
+0°
28 October – 6 November
near average
+11.2°
—
October records over 66 years
+23.1°1 October 2011All-time high
-2.2°16 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Hirwaun (3.1 km away).
Fri, 09+8 ° /14 °12.9
+14 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind16 mph W
Humidity100%
Visibility1155 ft
Dew point14°C
Sat, 10+6 ° /10 °0.3
+10 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind16 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Sun, 11+5 ° /11 °0
+11 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 11°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind5 mph W
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Mon, 12+9 ° /14 °4.9
+14 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind11 mph S
Humidity99%
Visibility2.3 mi
Dew point14°C
Tue, 13+9 ° /15 °10.9
+15 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point14°C
Wed, 14+9 ° /14 °6.3
+14 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind18 mph SW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Thu, 15+5 ° /11 °0.3
+11 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Fri, 16+4 ° /8 °4.4
+8 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 8°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind6 mph E
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Sat, 17+8 ° /11 °1
+11 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind7 mph E
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Sun, 18+9 ° /12 °10.7
+12 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind10 mph N
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Mon, 19+9 ° /10 °1.2
+10 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1029 mb
Wind10 mph NE
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Tue, 20+5 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Tuesday, 20 October
Mainly clear. High 12°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1032 mb
Wind9 mph NE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Wed, 21+6 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1031 mb
Wind7 mph E
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Thu, 22+6 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Thursday, 22 October
Clear sky. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1026 mb
Wind6 mph SE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Fri, 23+6 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Friday, 23 October
Clear sky. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind4 mph SE
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 24+7 ° /12 °5.2
+12 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.2 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+16° (1995)
Coldest on record-1° (2003)
Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °5.2
+12 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.2 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+16° (1969)
Coldest on record-1° (2010)
Mon, 26+7 ° /12 °3.4
+12 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.4 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (1997)
Tue, 27+7 ° /12 °4.5
+12 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.5 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2003)
Wed, 28+7 ° /12 °5.2
+12 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.2 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record+1° (2012)
Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °4.4
+12 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.4 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record-2° (2008)
Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °5
+12 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+17° (2015)
Coldest on record0° (1983)
Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °6
+12 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall6 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1992)
Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °4.8
+12 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.8 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+15° (2014)
Coldest on record+0° (1988)
Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °5.9
+11 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.9 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (2006)
Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °4
+11 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+15° (2011)
Coldest on record-2° (2006)
Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °2.9
+11 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+15° (1973)
Coldest on record-2° (1968)
Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °3.4
+11 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.4 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+15° (1978)
Coldest on record0° (1965)
Fri, 06+6 ° /10 °2.8
+10 °
Pontbren Llwyd, Friday, 6 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+15° (2015)
Coldest on record+1° (1960)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Pontbren Llwyd are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Pontbren Llwyd since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.