The month ahead in Poll Hill: daytime temperatures averaging +13.7° and +8° overnight — that is 0.5° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 13 days (around 60 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 37 mm. The warmest day should be 12 October (+16.8°), the coolest 18 October (+4.8°).
+13.7°/+8°
Average day / night
+0.5°
Above average
13 / 7
Wet days / normal
60 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+14.4°
+13.6°
+0.8°
17 October – 26 October
+12.5°
+12.3°
+0.2°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+11.3°
—
October records over 66 years
+24.5°1 October 2011All-time high
-1.2°30 October 2018All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Heswall (1 km away).
Thu, 08+9 ° /15 °2.2
+15 °
Poll Hill, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Fri, 09+11 ° /15 °8.1
+15 °
Poll Hill, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind22 mph W
Humidity80%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point11°C
Sat, 10+9 ° /11 °12.4
+11 °
Poll Hill, Saturday, 10 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind24 mph W
Humidity78%
Visibility2.7 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+9 ° /13 °3
+13 °
Poll Hill, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point8°C
Mon, 12+8 ° /17 °1.6
+17 °
Poll Hill, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind15 mph SE
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Tue, 13+10 ° /17 °3.5
+17 °
Poll Hill, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 17°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind15 mph SW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Wed, 14+10 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Poll Hill, Wednesday, 14 October
Partly cloudy. High 16°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1028 mb
Wind11 mph SW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Thu, 15+8 ° /15 °2.4
+15 °
Poll Hill, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind14 mph W
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Fri, 16+7 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Poll Hill, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1025 mb
Wind10 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Sat, 17+6 ° /14 °1.7
+14 °
Poll Hill, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind15 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Sun, 18+5 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Poll Hill, Sunday, 18 October
Clear sky. High 13°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1011 mb
Wind22 mph SE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Mon, 19+8 ° /14 °7.2
+14 °
Poll Hill, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Pressure995 mb
Wind22 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Tue, 20+7 ° /10 °8.2
+10 °
Poll Hill, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.
Pressure996 mb
Wind16 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Wed, 21+6 ° /11 °3.5
+11 °
Poll Hill, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind15 mph W
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Thu, 22+6 ° /12 °3.3
+12 °
Poll Hill, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind21 mph SE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+8 ° /12 °1.8
+12 °
Poll Hill, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.8 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+18° (2017)
Coldest on record+2° (1983)
Sat, 24+8 ° /12 °2.5
+12 °
Poll Hill, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+17° (1996)
Coldest on record+1° (1982)
Sun, 25+8 ° /12 °3
+12 °
Poll Hill, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+16° (2022)
Coldest on record0° (2010)
Mon, 26+8 ° /12 °2.5
+12 °
Poll Hill, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (1997)
Tue, 27+8 ° /12 °3.1
+12 °
Poll Hill, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (1962)
Wed, 28+7 ° /12 °2.5
+12 °
Poll Hill, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+17° (2024)
Coldest on record+2° (2008)
Thu, 29+7 ° /11 °2.1
+11 °
Poll Hill, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record0° (2018)
Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °2.3
+12 °
Poll Hill, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+17° (2001)
Coldest on record-1° (2018)
Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °2.7
+12 °
Poll Hill, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.7 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (1988)
Sun, 01+7 ° /11 °2.9
+11 °
Poll Hill, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+17° (2020)
Coldest on record-1° (1988)
Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °3.4
+11 °
Poll Hill, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.4 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (1986)
Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °2.8
+11 °
Poll Hill, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+16° (1979)
Coldest on record+0° (1985)
Wed, 04+6 ° /10 °1.8
+10 °
Poll Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.8 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record0° (1967)
Thu, 05+6 ° /10 °2.8
+10 °
Poll Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.8 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+17° (2025)
Coldest on record0° (1965)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Poll Hill are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Poll Hill since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.