As of 13:30 BST

Weather in Pencaerau

+15°

Pencaerau, Wednesday, 7 October, 13:30

Partly cloudy. Feels like 14°C. High 15°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind9 mph N

Humidity59%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Pencaerau: daytime temperatures averaging +14° and +9.8° overnight — that is 0.1° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 8 days (around 68 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 62 mm. The warmest day should be 15 October (+16.6°), the coolest 21 October (+6.4°).

+14°/+9.8°

Average day / night

+0.1°

Above average

8 / 8

Wet days / normal

68 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+15.4°	+14.3°	+1.1°
17 October – 26 October	+11.7°	+13.2°	-1.4°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+12.1°	—

October records over 66 years

+23.1°1 October 2011All-time high

-0.5°25 October 2010All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Taibach (7.5 km away).

Thu, 08+10 ° /16 °

0.2

+16 °

Pencaerau, Thursday, 8 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity67%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Fri, 09+11 ° /16 °

10.4

+16 °

Pencaerau, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 16°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind19 mph SW

Humidity97%

Visibility1.9 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+10 ° /13 °

0.2

+13 °

Pencaerau, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind16 mph W

Humidity68%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Pencaerau, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 12°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind3 mph W

Humidity69%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Mon, 12+11 ° /16 °

7.5

+16 °

Pencaerau, Monday, 12 October

Rain. High 16°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind13 mph S

Humidity93%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Tue, 13+15 ° /16 °

12.4

+16 °

Pencaerau, Tuesday, 13 October

Rain. High 16°C, low 15°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity98%

Visibility—

Dew point16°C

Wed, 14+13 ° /16 °

0.9

+16 °

Pencaerau, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1029 mb

Wind9 mph NE

Humidity75%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Thu, 15+12 ° /17 °

+17 °

Pencaerau, Thursday, 15 October

Mainly clear. High 17°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind11 mph SE

Humidity65%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Fri, 16+10 ° /16 °

+16 °

Pencaerau, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind15 mph SE

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Sat, 17+10 ° /13 °

15.5

+13 °

Pencaerau, Saturday, 17 October

Rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1004 mb

Wind22 mph SW

Humidity80%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Sun, 18+10 ° /13 °

+13 °

Pencaerau, Sunday, 18 October

Rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1002 mb

Wind22 mph SE

Humidity85%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Mon, 19+7 ° /10 °

5.8

+10 °

Pencaerau, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.

Pressure999 mb

Wind11 mph N

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Tue, 20+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Pencaerau, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 11°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1001 mb

Wind17 mph NW

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Wed, 21+6 ° /11 °

+11 °

Pencaerau, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 11°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind21 mph NW

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Thu, 22+7 ° /12 °

4.2

+12 °

Pencaerau, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind17 mph N

Humidity95%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+9 ° /13 °

3.7

+13 °

Pencaerau, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall3.7 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+17° (2011)

Coldest on record+3° (1987)

Sat, 24+9 ° /13 °

5.7

+13 °

Pencaerau, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall5.7 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record+1° (1987)

Sun, 25+9 ° /13 °

4.9

+13 °

Pencaerau, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall4.9 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+16° (2013)

Coldest on record0° (2010)

Mon, 26+9 ° /13 °

3.6

+13 °

Pencaerau, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall3.6 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+3° (2003)

Tue, 27+9 ° /13 °

5.2

+13 °

Pencaerau, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall5.2 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (2003)

Wed, 28+8 ° /13 °

5.2

+13 °

Pencaerau, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.2 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record+2° (2008)

Thu, 29+8 ° /12 °

4.8

+12 °

Pencaerau, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.8 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record+1° (2008)

Fri, 30+8 ° /13 °

5.2

+13 °

Pencaerau, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.2 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+17° (2015)

Coldest on record+0° (2018)

Sat, 31+9 ° /13 °

5.7

+13 °

Pencaerau, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall5.7 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record+1° (1992)

Sun, 01+8 ° /12 °

5.2

+12 °

Pencaerau, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.2 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+16° (2009)

Coldest on record+2° (2008)

Mon, 02+8 ° /12 °

6.1

+12 °

Pencaerau, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall6.1 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (2006)

Tue, 03+8 ° /12 °

4.9

+12 °

Pencaerau, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.9 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record-1° (1985)

Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °

3.4

+11 °

Pencaerau, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+15° (1973)

Coldest on record0° (2006)

Thu, 05+7 ° /11 °

3.3

+11 °

Pencaerau, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record+2° (1965)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Pencaerau are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Pencaerau since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.