The month ahead in Park Head: daytime temperatures averaging +12.5° and +6.1° overnight — that is 0.6° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 9 days (around 29 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 33 mm. The warmest day should be 9 October (+19.3°), the coolest 23 October (+1.8°).
+12.5°/+6.1°
Average day / night
−0.6°
Below average
9 / 6
Wet days / normal
29 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
8 October – 17 October
+13.8°
+13.5°
+0.3°
18 October – 27 October
+10.2°
+12.2°
-1.9°
28 October – 6 November
near average
+10.9°
—
October records over 66 years
+25.8°1 October 2011All-time high
-3.6°29 October 1997All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Alfreton (5.5 km away).
Fri, 09+9 ° /19 °4
+19 °
Park Head, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 19°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind22 mph W
Humidity91%
Visibility4.5 mi
Dew point14°C
Sat, 10+7 ° /10 °1.6
+10 °
Park Head, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Sun, 11+5 ° /11 °0
+11 °
Park Head, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 11°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind13 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Mon, 12+4 ° /13 °1.7
+13 °
Park Head, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1017 mb
Wind13 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Tue, 13+8 ° /17 °1.2
+17 °
Park Head, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind16 mph SW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point14°C
Wed, 14+6 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Park Head, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 17°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1025 mb
Wind12 mph SW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Thu, 15+6 ° /12 °1.1
+12 °
Park Head, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind18 mph SW
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Fri, 16+5 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Park Head, Friday, 16 October
Mainly clear. High 12°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind6 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Sat, 17+7 ° /11 °12.8
+11 °
Park Head, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind19 mph W
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Sun, 18+3 ° /10 °0
+10 °
Park Head, Sunday, 18 October
Mainly clear. High 10°C, low 3°C.
Pressure1025 mb
Wind14 mph W
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point1°C
Mon, 19+8 ° /13 °1
+13 °
Park Head, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind21 mph SW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Tue, 20+11 ° /15 °0.5
+15 °
Park Head, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind24 mph NW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Wed, 21+7 ° /8 °1.1
+8 °
Park Head, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 8°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind22 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Thu, 22+5 ° /8 °3.8
+8 °
Park Head, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 8°C, low 5°C.
Pressure992 mb
Wind19 mph W
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Fri, 23+2 ° /7 °0.2
+7 °
Park Head, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 7°C, low 2°C.
Pressure1002 mb
Wind17 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point-1°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 24+7 ° /12 °2.3
+12 °
Park Head, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record-1° (1964)
Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °2
+12 °
Park Head, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+16° (2013)
Coldest on record-1° (2010)
Mon, 26+7 ° /12 °2.1
+12 °
Park Head, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain32%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record+0° (1981)
Tue, 27+7 ° /12 °2.5
+12 °
Park Head, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+19° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1962)
Wed, 28+6 ° /12 °1.6
+12 °
Park Head, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.6 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (2008)
Thu, 29+6 ° /11 °1.4
+11 °
Park Head, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.4 mm
Chance of rain28%
Warmest on record+18° (2022)
Coldest on record-4° (1997)
Fri, 30+6 ° /12 °1.9
+12 °
Park Head, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+17° (2001)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °2.6
+12 °
Park Head, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (2018)
Sun, 01+6 ° /11 °2.3
+11 °
Park Head, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+16° (2020)
Coldest on record+0° (1988)
Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °3.6
+11 °
Park Head, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.6 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1985)
Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °1.9
+11 °
Park Head, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+15° (1979)
Coldest on record-3° (1985)
Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °1.8
+10 °
Park Head, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall1.8 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+16° (2010)
Coldest on record-2° (1966)
Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °1.9
+10 °
Park Head, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (1968)
Fri, 06+5 ° /10 °1.9
+10 °
Park Head, Friday, 6 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+16° (1972)
Coldest on record-1° (1965)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Park Head are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Park Head since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.