As of 10:30 BST

Weather in Nant-y-moel

+11°

Nant-y-moel, Thursday, 8 October, 10:30

Overcast. Feels like 10°C. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind10 mph NW

Humidity76%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Nant-y-moel: daytime temperatures averaging +13.2° and +7.5° overnight — that is 0.1° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 10 days (around 55 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 62 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+16.6°), the coolest 17 October (+1.9°).

+13.2°/+7.5°

Average day / night

−0.1°

Below average

10 / 8

Wet days / normal

55 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
8 October – 17 October	+13.4°	+13.7°	-0.3°
18 October – 27 October	+12.9°	+12.5°	+0.4°
28 October – 6 November	near average	+11.3°	—

October records over 66 years

+22.8°1 October 2011All-time high

-1.5°16 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Pontycymer (3.4 km away).

Fri, 09+10 ° /15 °

12.4

+15 °

Nant-y-moel, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind20 mph W

Humidity98%

Visibility1.5 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Nant-y-moel, Saturday, 10 October

Partly cloudy. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind16 mph W

Humidity66%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Sun, 11+6 ° /12 °

0.1

+12 °

Nant-y-moel, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind4 mph SW

Humidity73%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Mon, 12+10 ° /16 °

4.8

+16 °

Nant-y-moel, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind11 mph SE

Humidity97%

Visibility—

Dew point15°C

Tue, 13+11 ° /17 °

7.1

+17 °

Nant-y-moel, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind14 mph SW

Humidity100%

Visibility—

Dew point16°C

Wed, 14+10 ° /15 °

0.2

+15 °

Nant-y-moel, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind11 mph SW

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Thu, 15+6 ° /12 °

9.3

+12 °

Nant-y-moel, Thursday, 15 October

Rain. High 12°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind18 mph NW

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Fri, 16+4 ° /12 °

+12 °

Nant-y-moel, Friday, 16 October

Mainly clear. High 12°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind9 mph NW

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Sat, 17+2 ° /11 °

+11 °

Nant-y-moel, Saturday, 17 October

Clear sky. High 11°C, low 2°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind10 mph E

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point1°C

Sun, 18+5 ° /11 °

1.6

+11 °

Nant-y-moel, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind7 mph N

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Mon, 19+8 ° /12 °

6.4

+12 °

Nant-y-moel, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind24 mph E

Humidity65%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Tue, 20+7 ° /12 °

5.5

+12 °

Nant-y-moel, Tuesday, 20 October

Rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind19 mph E

Humidity92%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Wed, 21+10 ° /13 °

4.1

+13 °

Nant-y-moel, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind14 mph E

Humidity83%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Thu, 22+9 ° /15 °

1.3

+15 °

Nant-y-moel, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind5 mph N

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Fri, 23+7 ° /14 °

+14 °

Nant-y-moel, Friday, 23 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind7 mph NE

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 24+8 ° /12 °

5.5

+12 °

Nant-y-moel, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.5 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+16° (1995)

Coldest on record0° (1987)

Sun, 25+8 ° /12 °

4.9

+12 °

Nant-y-moel, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.9 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+16° (2013)

Coldest on record-1° (2010)

Mon, 26+8 ° /12 °

3.5

+12 °

Nant-y-moel, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.5 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+2° (2003)

Tue, 27+8 ° /12 °

4.8

+12 °

Nant-y-moel, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.8 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2003)

Wed, 28+8 ° /12 °

5.1

+12 °

Nant-y-moel, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.1 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record+1° (2008)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

4.7

+12 °

Nant-y-moel, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.7 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record-1° (2008)

Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °

5.1

+12 °

Nant-y-moel, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.1 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+17° (2015)

Coldest on record-1° (2018)

Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °

5.8

+12 °

Nant-y-moel, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.8 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (1992)

Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °

5.1

+12 °

Nant-y-moel, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.1 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+15° (2009)

Coldest on record+0° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Nant-y-moel, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall6 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2006)

Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °

4.3

+11 °

Nant-y-moel, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.3 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

3.2

+11 °

Nant-y-moel, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+15° (1973)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °

3.2

+11 °

Nant-y-moel, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+15° (1978)

Coldest on record+1° (1965)

Fri, 06+6 ° /11 °

3.1

+11 °

Nant-y-moel, Friday, 6 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+15° (2015)

Coldest on record+2° (2017)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Nant-y-moel are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Nant-y-moel since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.