The month ahead in Muirkirk: daytime temperatures averaging +11.9° and +6.7° overnight — that is 0.3° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 13 days (around 114 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 58 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+14.9°), the coolest 17 October (+3.4°).
+11.9°/+6.7°
Average day / night
+0.3°
Above average
13 / 8
Wet days / normal
114 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+11.9°
+12°
-0°
17 October – 26 October
+11.8°
+10.9°
+0.9°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+9.8°
—
October records over 66 years
+19.4°13 October 1990All-time high
-1.8°20 October 2002All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Cumnock (14.8 km away).
Thu, 08+4 ° /11 °10.7
+11 °
Muirkirk, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind7 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Fri, 09+7 ° /13 °23.5
+13 °
Muirkirk, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind17 mph W
Humidity87%
Visibility6.1 mi
Dew point8°C
Sat, 10+7 ° /9 °14.9
+9 °
Muirkirk, Saturday, 10 October
Rain. High 9°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity92%
Visibility6.1 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+6 ° /11 °0
+11 °
Muirkirk, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 11°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind11 mph W
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Mon, 12+8 ° /14 °4.5
+14 °
Muirkirk, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind21 mph S
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Tue, 13+7 ° /15 °5
+15 °
Muirkirk, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind22 mph S
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Wed, 14+7 ° /10 °7.3
+10 °
Muirkirk, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Thu, 15+6 ° /13 °12.7
+13 °
Muirkirk, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind28 mph S
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Fri, 16+4 ° /12 °5.1
+12 °
Muirkirk, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 4°C.
Pressure993 mb
Wind23 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Sat, 17+3 ° /7 °9.6
+7 °
Muirkirk, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 7°C, low 3°C.
Pressure998 mb
Wind23 mph SW
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Sun, 18+6 ° /10 °1.8
+10 °
Muirkirk, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1007 mb
Wind24 mph SW
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Mon, 19+9 ° /12 °8.3
+12 °
Muirkirk, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind20 mph SW
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Tue, 20+9 ° /14 °9
+14 °
Muirkirk, Tuesday, 20 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind16 mph S
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Wed, 21+11 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Muirkirk, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind17 mph S
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point13°C
Thu, 22+9 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Muirkirk, Thursday, 22 October
Clear sky. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind12 mph S
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+7 ° /11 °3.7
+11 °
Muirkirk, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.7 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+15° (1996)
Coldest on record+1° (1987)
Sat, 24+7 ° /11 °5.2
+11 °
Muirkirk, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.2 mm
Chance of rain68%
Warmest on record+15° (1995)
Coldest on record+0° (2010)
Sun, 25+7 ° /11 °3.9
+11 °
Muirkirk, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+16° (2024)
Coldest on record-1° (2010)
Mon, 26+7 ° /11 °4.3
+11 °
Muirkirk, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+15° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (1962)
Tue, 27+7 ° /11 °4.7
+11 °
Muirkirk, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.7 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2018)
Wed, 28+7 ° /10 °5
+10 °
Muirkirk, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2018)
Thu, 29+6 ° /10 °3.9
+10 °
Muirkirk, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+15° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1988)
Fri, 30+6 ° /11 °3.8
+11 °
Muirkirk, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+15° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2018)
Sat, 31+6 ° /10 °5
+10 °
Muirkirk, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall5 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (2002)
Sun, 01+6 ° /10 °4.9
+10 °
Muirkirk, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.9 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+14° (1996)
Coldest on record+0° (1985)
Mon, 02+5 ° /10 °4.3
+10 °
Muirkirk, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+14° (1971)
Coldest on record-2° (1986)
Tue, 03+5 ° /9 °5.1
+9 °
Muirkirk, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high9°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall5.1 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+15° (1979)
Coldest on record-2° (1966)
Wed, 04+5 ° /9 °3.2
+9 °
Muirkirk, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high9°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall3.2 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+14° (2025)
Coldest on record-4° (1968)
Thu, 05+5 ° /9 °3.8
+9 °
Muirkirk, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high9°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+14° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (1984)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Muirkirk are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Muirkirk since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.