The month ahead in Morton Common: daytime temperatures averaging +13.7° and +6.3° overnight — that is 0.3° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 7 days (around 26 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 40 mm. The warmest day should be 14 October (+16.5°), the coolest 22 October (+3.5°).
+13.7°/+6.3°
Average day / night
+0.3°
Above average
7 / 7
Wet days / normal
26 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+14.2°
+13.8°
+0.4°
17 October – 26 October
+12.8°
+12.5°
+0.2°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+11.5°
—
October records over 66 years
+24.6°1 October 2011All-time high
-2°25 October 2010All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Llangollen (19.2 km away).
Thu, 08+8 ° /16 °1.2
+16 °
Morton Common, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Fri, 09+9 ° /15 °3.1
+15 °
Morton Common, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind19 mph W
Humidity85%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point13°C
Sat, 10+8 ° /11 °0.6
+11 °
Morton Common, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind20 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Sun, 11+6 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Morton Common, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind8 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Mon, 12+5 ° /16 °3.5
+16 °
Morton Common, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind16 mph SW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Tue, 13+8 ° /16 °0.9
+16 °
Morton Common, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind17 mph SW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Wed, 14+8 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Morton Common, Wednesday, 14 October
Mainly clear. High 17°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1029 mb
Wind12 mph SW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Thu, 15+6 ° /15 °0.8
+15 °
Morton Common, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1017 mb
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Fri, 16+4 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Morton Common, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 12°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1026 mb
Wind6 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Sat, 17+5 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Morton Common, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Sun, 18+4 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Morton Common, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 14°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind23 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Mon, 19+8 ° /14 °6.3
+14 °
Morton Common, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Pressure996 mb
Wind21 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Tue, 20+6 ° /11 °1.8
+11 °
Morton Common, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 6°C.
Pressure996 mb
Wind15 mph SW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Wed, 21+4 ° /11 °2
+11 °
Morton Common, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind13 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Thu, 22+3 ° /12 °4.6
+12 °
Morton Common, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 3°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind18 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+8 ° /12 °2.1
+12 °
Morton Common, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+18° (1971)
Coldest on record+1° (1993)
Sat, 24+7 ° /13 °2.7
+13 °
Morton Common, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.7 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+17° (1996)
Coldest on record+0° (1964)
Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °3.4
+12 °
Morton Common, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.4 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+16° (2013)
Coldest on record-2° (2010)
Mon, 26+7 ° /12 °2.6
+12 °
Morton Common, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (1997)
Tue, 27+7 ° /12 °3.1
+12 °
Morton Common, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+19° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (1962)
Wed, 28+7 ° /12 °2.5
+12 °
Morton Common, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.5 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record+0° (2008)
Thu, 29+6 ° /12 °2.4
+12 °
Morton Common, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record-2° (1997)
Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °2.3
+12 °
Morton Common, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+17° (2001)
Coldest on record-1° (2018)
Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °3.6
+12 °
Morton Common, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.6 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1988)
Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °2.9
+12 °
Morton Common, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1988)
Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °4
+11 °
Morton Common, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (2006)
Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °2.6
+11 °
Morton Common, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+16° (1979)
Coldest on record-2° (2006)
Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °1.8
+11 °
Morton Common, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.8 mm
Chance of rain33%
Warmest on record+16° (1971)
Coldest on record0° (1988)
Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °2.9
+11 °
Morton Common, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record-1° (1965)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Morton Common are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Morton Common since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.