Moravian Settlement, Thursday, 8 October, 00:01
Clear sky. Feels like 5°C. High 17°C, low 7°C.
The month ahead in Moravian Settlement: daytime temperatures averaging +14° and +7.2° overnight — that is 0.4° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 5 days (around 22 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 32 mm. The warmest day should be 9 October (+21.6°), the coolest 23 October (+2.7°).
| Period | Forecast (day) | Average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 October – 17 October | +15.5° | +14.1° | +1.4° |
| 18 October – 27 October | +11.5° | +12.8° | -1.3° |
| 28 October – 6 November | near average | +11.4° | — |
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Borrowash (1.2 km away).
Moravian Settlement, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 22°C, low 10°C.
Moravian Settlement, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.
Moravian Settlement, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Moravian Settlement, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 5°C.
Moravian Settlement, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 19°C, low 9°C.
Moravian Settlement, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 18°C, low 7°C.
Moravian Settlement, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 7°C.
Moravian Settlement, Friday, 16 October
Mainly clear. High 13°C, low 5°C.
Moravian Settlement, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.
Moravian Settlement, Sunday, 18 October
Mainly clear. High 12°C, low 4°C.
Moravian Settlement, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Moravian Settlement, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.
Moravian Settlement, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 8°C.
Moravian Settlement, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 6°C.
Moravian Settlement, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 8°C, low 3°C.
Moravian Settlement, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Moravian Settlement, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Moravian Settlement, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Moravian Settlement, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Moravian Settlement, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Moravian Settlement, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Moravian Settlement, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Moravian Settlement, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Moravian Settlement, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Moravian Settlement, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Moravian Settlement, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Moravian Settlement, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Moravian Settlement, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Moravian Settlement, Friday, 6 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Moravian Settlement are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
These are real historical extremes recorded in Moravian Settlement since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.