As of 14:06 BST

Weather in Monsal Head

+13°

Monsal Head, Thursday, 8 October, 14:06

Overcast. Feels like 11°C. High 13°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind13 mph NW

Humidity59%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Monsal Head: daytime temperatures averaging +12.5° and +7° overnight — that is 0.5° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 8 days (around 33 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 42 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+17.6°), the coolest 17 October (+2.5°).

+12.5°/+7°

Average day / night

−0.5°

Below average

8 / 7

Wet days / normal

33 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
8 October – 17 October	+12.6°	+13.4°	-0.8°
18 October – 27 October	+12.2°	+12.2°	+0.1°
28 October – 6 November	near average	+10.9°	—

October records over 66 years

+25°1 October 2011All-time high

-2.7°17 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Bakewell (4.4 km away).

Fri, 09+9 ° /14 °

12.1

+14 °

Monsal Head, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1006 mb

Wind21 mph W

Humidity95%

Visibility2.5 mi

Dew point13°C

Sat, 10+7 ° /10 °

3.1

+10 °

Monsal Head, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind22 mph W

Humidity84%

Visibility5.7 mi

Dew point7°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /11 °

0.2

+11 °

Monsal Head, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind11 mph W

Humidity75%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Mon, 12+7 ° /14 °

1.7

+14 °

Monsal Head, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity90%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point10°C

Tue, 13+10 ° /18 °

1.6

+18 °

Monsal Head, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind17 mph W

Humidity91%

Visibility—

Dew point16°C

Wed, 14+8 ° /15 °

+15 °

Monsal Head, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind16 mph SW

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Thu, 15+6 ° /11 °

9.1

+11 °

Monsal Head, Thursday, 15 October

Rain. High 11°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind14 mph NW

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Fri, 16+4 ° /11 °

+11 °

Monsal Head, Friday, 16 October

Clear sky. High 11°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind7 mph NW

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Sat, 17+3 ° /11 °

+11 °

Monsal Head, Saturday, 17 October

Clear sky. High 11°C, low 3°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind10 mph NE

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Sun, 18+8 ° /11 °

0.8

+11 °

Monsal Head, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind12 mph N

Humidity89%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Mon, 19+8 ° /13 °

1.4

+13 °

Monsal Head, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind23 mph NE

Humidity82%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Tue, 20+8 ° /13 °

1.1

+13 °

Monsal Head, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind15 mph E

Humidity90%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Wed, 21+9 ° /13 °

0.3

+13 °

Monsal Head, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind9 mph NE

Humidity82%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Thu, 22+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Monsal Head, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind8 mph NE

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Fri, 23+7 ° /12 °

0.1

+12 °

Monsal Head, Friday, 23 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind9 mph N

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 24+7 ° /12 °

3.4

+12 °

Monsal Head, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record-1° (1964)

Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °

3.1

+12 °

Monsal Head, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+16° (2013)

Coldest on record-1° (2010)

Mon, 26+7 ° /12 °

2.8

+12 °

Monsal Head, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.8 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+0° (1981)

Tue, 27+7 ° /12 °

3.9

+12 °

Monsal Head, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Wed, 28+7 ° /12 °

2.9

+12 °

Monsal Head, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.9 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (2008)

Thu, 29+6 ° /11 °

2.1

+11 °

Monsal Head, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record-2° (1997)

Fri, 30+6 ° /12 °

2.5

+12 °

Monsal Head, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+17° (2001)

Coldest on record-2° (1988)

Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °

3.3

+12 °

Monsal Head, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1992)

Sun, 01+6 ° /11 °

+11 °

Monsal Head, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+16° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °

4.2

+11 °

Monsal Head, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4.2 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (1985)

Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °

3.2

+11 °

Monsal Head, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+16° (1979)

Coldest on record-3° (1985)

Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °

2.2

+10 °

Monsal Head, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+15° (1971)

Coldest on record-1° (1966)

Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °

2.7

+10 °

Monsal Head, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall2.7 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+15° (2025)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Fri, 06+5 ° /10 °

2.3

+10 °

Monsal Head, Friday, 6 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+16° (2015)

Coldest on record0° (1965)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Monsal Head are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Monsal Head since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.