As of 00:42 BST

Weather in Moel-y-crio

+11°

Moel-y-crio, Wednesday, 7 October, 00:42

Overcast. Feels like 10°C. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind9 mph NW

Humidity93%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point10°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Moel-y-crio: daytime temperatures averaging +15.2° and +9° overnight — that is 1.7° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 10 days (around 46 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 37 mm. The warmest day should be 21 October (+18.6°), the coolest 15 October (+5.5°).

+15.2°/+9°

Average day / night

+1.7°

Above average

10 / 7

Wet days / normal

46 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+15.1°	+13.9°	+1.2°
17 October – 26 October	+15.4°	+12.6°	+2.7°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+11.6°	—

October records over 66 years

+24.9°1 October 2011All-time high

-1.2°30 October 2018All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Neston (12.2 km away).

Thu, 08+8 ° /14 °

1.1

+14 °

Moel-y-crio, Thursday, 8 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind12 mph NW

Humidity68%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Fri, 09+12 ° /16 °

5.5

+16 °

Moel-y-crio, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1008 mb

Wind19 mph W

Humidity86%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point12°C

Sat, 10+10 ° /13 °

1.7

+13 °

Moel-y-crio, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind19 mph W

Humidity75%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Sun, 11+9 ° /14 °

0.4

+14 °

Moel-y-crio, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind12 mph W

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Mon, 12+9 ° /17 °

0.6

+17 °

Moel-y-crio, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind15 mph S

Humidity82%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Tue, 13+8 ° /17 °

2.3

+17 °

Moel-y-crio, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind17 mph W

Humidity85%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Wed, 14+7 ° /16 °

2.9

+16 °

Moel-y-crio, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind15 mph SW

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Thu, 15+5 ° /15 °

+15 °

Moel-y-crio, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind19 mph SW

Humidity65%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Fri, 16+8 ° /14 °

+14 °

Moel-y-crio, Friday, 16 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure999 mb

Wind20 mph SW

Humidity90%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Sat, 17+6 ° /10 °

2.1

+10 °

Moel-y-crio, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1005 mb

Wind19 mph W

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Sun, 18+6 ° /13 °

+13 °

Moel-y-crio, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind15 mph SW

Humidity79%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Mon, 19+13 ° /16 °

2.4

+16 °

Moel-y-crio, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind19 mph SW

Humidity85%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Tue, 20+12 ° /17 °

1.2

+17 °

Moel-y-crio, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind13 mph SW

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Wed, 21+11 ° /19 °

+19 °

Moel-y-crio, Wednesday, 21 October

Partly cloudy. High 19°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind7 mph SE

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Thu, 22+9 ° /18 °

+18 °

Moel-y-crio, Thursday, 22 October

Clear sky. High 18°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind6 mph S

Humidity46%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+8 ° /13 °

1.8

+13 °

Moel-y-crio, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+18° (2017)

Coldest on record+2° (1983)

Sat, 24+8 ° /13 °

2.5

+13 °

Moel-y-crio, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+17° (1996)

Coldest on record+2° (1982)

Sun, 25+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Moel-y-crio, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+17° (2013)

Coldest on record0° (2010)

Mon, 26+8 ° /12 °

2.5

+12 °

Moel-y-crio, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1997)

Tue, 27+8 ° /12 °

3.1

+12 °

Moel-y-crio, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1962)

Wed, 28+8 ° /12 °

2.5

+12 °

Moel-y-crio, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.5 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record+2° (2008)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

2.1

+12 °

Moel-y-crio, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record0° (2018)

Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °

2.3

+12 °

Moel-y-crio, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+17° (2001)

Coldest on record-1° (2018)

Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °

2.7

+12 °

Moel-y-crio, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.7 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record+0° (1988)

Sun, 01+8 ° /12 °

2.9

+12 °

Moel-y-crio, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall2.9 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+17° (2020)

Coldest on record0° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °

3.4

+11 °

Moel-y-crio, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1986)

Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °

2.8

+11 °

Moel-y-crio, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.8 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+16° (1979)

Coldest on record+1° (1985)

Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °

1.8

+11 °

Moel-y-crio, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record0° (1967)

Thu, 05+7 ° /11 °

2.8

+11 °

Moel-y-crio, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.8 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+17° (2025)

Coldest on record0° (1965)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Moel-y-crio are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Moel-y-crio since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.