The month ahead in Mill Yard: daytime temperatures averaging +15.4° and +9.9° overnight — that is 2.1° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 7 days (around 28 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 53 mm. The warmest day should be 17 October (+18.7°), the coolest 12 October (+6.7°).
+15.4°/+9.9°
Average day / night
+2.1°
Above average
7 / 8
Wet days / normal
28 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+14.9°
+13.8°
+1.1°
17 October – 26 October
+16.4°
+12.5°
+3.9°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+11.5°
—
October records over 66 years
+24.5°1 October 2011All-time high
-2.1°29 October 2018All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Knotty Ash (0.5 km away).
Thu, 08+7 ° /14 °1.1
+14 °
Mill Yard, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Fri, 09+12 ° /15 °7.2
+15 °
Mill Yard, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind20 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point10°C
Sat, 10+10 ° /12 °9.4
+12 °
Mill Yard, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind21 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility4.4 mi
Dew point5°C
Sun, 11+10 ° /13 °1.9
+13 °
Mill Yard, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind17 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Mon, 12+7 ° /15 °3.3
+15 °
Mill Yard, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind16 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Tue, 13+12 ° /17 °2.2
+17 °
Mill Yard, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind15 mph SE
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point15°C
Wed, 14+10 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Mill Yard, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1029 mb
Wind8 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Thu, 15+11 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Mill Yard, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 17°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1028 mb
Wind8 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Fri, 16+10 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Mill Yard, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 17°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind13 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Sat, 17+12 ° /19 °0
+19 °
Mill Yard, Saturday, 17 October
Clear sky. High 19°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind15 mph SE
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Sun, 18+12 ° /18 °0
+18 °
Mill Yard, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 18°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind7 mph E
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Mon, 19+10 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Mill Yard, Monday, 19 October
Clear sky. High 16°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind6 mph E
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Tue, 20+9 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Mill Yard, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1031 mb
Wind6 mph E
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Wed, 21+9 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Mill Yard, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1031 mb
Wind5 mph SE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Thu, 22+8 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Mill Yard, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1029 mb
Wind6 mph SE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+8 ° /12 °3.6
+12 °
Mill Yard, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.6 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+17° (1971)
Coldest on record+1° (1993)
Sat, 24+8 ° /12 °3.8
+12 °
Mill Yard, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+17° (2017)
Coldest on record+1° (1993)
Sun, 25+8 ° /12 °4.5
+12 °
Mill Yard, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.5 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+17° (2013)
Coldest on record0° (2010)
Mon, 26+8 ° /12 °4
+12 °
Mill Yard, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (1997)
Tue, 27+8 ° /12 °5
+12 °
Mill Yard, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall5 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (1962)
Wed, 28+8 ° /12 °4.7
+12 °
Mill Yard, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.7 mm
Chance of rain65%
Warmest on record+17° (2024)
Coldest on record+2° (2018)
Thu, 29+7 ° /11 °3.8
+11 °
Mill Yard, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.8 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record-2° (2018)
Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °3.2
+12 °
Mill Yard, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.2 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+17° (2001)
Coldest on record-2° (2018)
Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °4
+12 °
Mill Yard, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record+0° (1988)
Sun, 01+8 ° /12 °4.2
+12 °
Mill Yard, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.2 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+17° (2020)
Coldest on record+0° (1988)
Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °4.5
+11 °
Mill Yard, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.5 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+17° (2020)
Coldest on record+1° (1986)
Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °4.6
+11 °
Mill Yard, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.6 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+16° (1979)
Coldest on record0° (1985)
Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °3.5
+11 °
Mill Yard, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.5 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record0° (1967)
Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °4.4
+11 °
Mill Yard, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.4 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+17° (2025)
Coldest on record+0° (1965)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Mill Yard are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Mill Yard since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.