As of 14:05 BST

Weather in Michaelchurch Escley

+14°

Michaelchurch Escley, Thursday, 8 October, 14:05

Overcast. Feels like 13°C. High 14°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind3 mph NE

Humidity61%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Michaelchurch Escley: daytime temperatures averaging +13.1° and +6.9° overnight — that is 0.4° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 8 days (around 43 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 37 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+18.3°), the coolest 17 October (+1.3°).

+13.1°/+6.9°

Average day / night

−0.4°

Below average

8 / 6

Wet days / normal

43 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
8 October – 17 October	+13.8°	+13.9°	-0.1°
18 October – 27 October	+11.9°	+12.7°	-0.8°
28 October – 6 November	near average	+11.4°	—

October records over 66 years

+24.9°1 October 2011All-time high

-3.3°19 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Belmont (16.7 km away).

Fri, 09+9 ° /15 °

2.2

+15 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind18 mph SW

Humidity93%

Visibility3.4 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Saturday, 10 October

Partly cloudy. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind18 mph W

Humidity68%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Sun, 11+6 ° /13 °

+13 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind6 mph W

Humidity72%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Mon, 12+8 ° /16 °

2.2

+16 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind8 mph S

Humidity99%

Visibility3.5 mi

Dew point14°C

Tue, 13+10 ° /18 °

0.5

+18 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind14 mph SW

Humidity92%

Visibility—

Dew point16°C

Wed, 14+8 ° /15 °

+15 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind11 mph SW

Humidity65%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Thu, 15+5 ° /12 °

15.6

+12 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Thursday, 15 October

Rain. High 12°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind18 mph NW

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Fri, 16+4 ° /12 °

+12 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Friday, 16 October

Mainly clear. High 12°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind9 mph NW

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Sat, 17+1 ° /11 °

+11 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Saturday, 17 October

Clear sky. High 11°C, low 1°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind7 mph NE

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Sun, 18+4 ° /10 °

2.6

+10 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 10°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind9 mph N

Humidity78%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Mon, 19+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind20 mph NE

Humidity72%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Tue, 20+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind16 mph E

Humidity95%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Wed, 21+10 ° /11 °

6.6

+11 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Wednesday, 21 October

Rain. High 11°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind5 mph E

Humidity94%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Thu, 22+9 ° /13 °

+13 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind7 mph N

Humidity78%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Fri, 23+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Friday, 23 October

Overcast. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind7 mph N

Humidity78%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 24+7 ° /13 °

2.7

+13 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.7 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record-1° (1987)

Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °

2.1

+12 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+17° (2013)

Coldest on record-2° (2010)

Mon, 26+7 ° /13 °

2.2

+13 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record0° (1997)

Tue, 27+7 ° /13 °

2.4

+13 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record-2° (2003)

Wed, 28+7 ° /12 °

2.1

+12 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1997)

Thu, 29+6 ° /12 °

1.9

+12 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record-3° (2008)

Fri, 30+6 ° /12 °

2.4

+12 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+17° (2001)

Coldest on record-2° (1983)

Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °

3.3

+12 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-2° (1992)

Sun, 01+6 ° /12 °

2.3

+12 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+17° (2020)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °

3.6

+11 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.6 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °

1.6

+11 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.6 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+15° (1979)

Coldest on record-3° (1985)

Wed, 04+5 ° /11 °

1.9

+11 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+15° (1978)

Coldest on record-3° (2006)

Thu, 05+5 ° /11 °

2.2

+11 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-1° (1965)

Fri, 06+5 ° /10 °

1.7

+10 °

Michaelchurch Escley, Friday, 6 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain28%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1995)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Michaelchurch Escley are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Michaelchurch Escley since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.