The month ahead in Marden Thorn: daytime temperatures averaging +15.7° and +8.3° overnight — that is 1° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 3 days (around 9 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 35 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+19.6°), the coolest 16 October (+4.8°).
+15.7°/+8.3°
Average day / night
+1°
Above average
3 / 6
Wet days / normal
9 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
8 October – 17 October
+16.1°
+15.1°
+1°
18 October – 27 October
+15.1°
+13.9°
+1.3°
28 October – 6 November
near average
+12.4°
—
October records over 66 years
+25.6°1 October 2011All-time high
-1.1°29 October 1997All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Staplehurst (2.6 km away).
Fri, 09+9 ° /18 °0.7
+18 °
Marden Thorn, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 18°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind21 mph W
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point12°C
Sat, 10+9 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Marden Thorn, Saturday, 10 October
Clear sky. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind14 mph W
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Sun, 11+8 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Marden Thorn, Sunday, 11 October
Mainly clear. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind9 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Mon, 12+8 ° /17 °0.4
+17 °
Marden Thorn, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind13 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point11°C
Tue, 13+16 ° /20 °1.7
+20 °
Marden Thorn, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 20°C, low 16°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind15 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point17°C
Wed, 14+10 ° /19 °0
+19 °
Marden Thorn, Wednesday, 14 October
Partly cloudy. High 19°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind13 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Thu, 15+8 ° /15 °0.2
+15 °
Marden Thorn, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind16 mph SW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point1°C
Fri, 16+5 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Marden Thorn, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point1°C
Sat, 17+5 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Marden Thorn, Saturday, 17 October
Clear sky. High 15°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind7 mph E
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point-1°C
Sun, 18+7 ° /13 °4.1
+13 °
Marden Thorn, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind7 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Mon, 19+9 ° /13 °1
+13 °
Marden Thorn, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1029 mb
Wind11 mph N
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Tue, 20+8 ° /15 °0.6
+15 °
Marden Thorn, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind10 mph E
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Wed, 21+9 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Marden Thorn, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind10 mph NE
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Thu, 22+7 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Marden Thorn, Thursday, 22 October
Clear sky. High 17°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1026 mb
Wind7 mph E
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Fri, 23+8 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Marden Thorn, Friday, 23 October
Clear sky. High 17°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind7 mph SE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 24+8 ° /14 °2.1
+14 °
Marden Thorn, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high14°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+19° (1995)
Coldest on record+1° (1964)
Sun, 25+8 ° /14 °1.8
+14 °
Marden Thorn, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high14°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.8 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+18° (2017)
Coldest on record+1° (1964)
Mon, 26+8 ° /14 °1.3
+14 °
Marden Thorn, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high14°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.3 mm
Chance of rain28%
Warmest on record+19° (2022)
Coldest on record+1° (2010)
Tue, 27+8 ° /14 °1.4
+14 °
Marden Thorn, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high14°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.4 mm
Chance of rain28%
Warmest on record+21° (2022)
Coldest on record+2° (1962)
Wed, 28+8 ° /13 °2.3
+13 °
Marden Thorn, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+18° (2022)
Coldest on record+1° (2012)
Thu, 29+8 ° /13 °1.6
+13 °
Marden Thorn, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.6 mm
Chance of rain30%
Warmest on record+21° (2022)
Coldest on record-1° (1997)
Fri, 30+8 ° /13 °1.5
+13 °
Marden Thorn, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall1.5 mm
Chance of rain27%
Warmest on record+20° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (1983)
Sat, 31+8 ° /13 °2.3
+13 °
Marden Thorn, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain33%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record+1° (1974)
Sun, 01+8 ° /13 °2.4
+13 °
Marden Thorn, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+18° (1999)
Coldest on record0° (1962)
Mon, 02+7 ° /13 °2.6
+13 °
Marden Thorn, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (1985)
Tue, 03+7 ° /12 °1.9
+12 °
Marden Thorn, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain28%
Warmest on record+16° (1969)
Coldest on record-3° (1985)
Wed, 04+6 ° /12 °2.6
+12 °
Marden Thorn, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain37%
Warmest on record+15° (2010)
Coldest on record+0° (1966)
Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °1.3
+11 °
Marden Thorn, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.3 mm
Chance of rain25%
Warmest on record+17° (2025)
Coldest on record0° (1988)
Fri, 06+6 ° /11 °2.3
+11 °
Marden Thorn, Friday, 6 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.3 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+16° (2015)
Coldest on record+1° (1969)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Marden Thorn are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Marden Thorn since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.