As of 17:57 BST

Weather in Mansel Lacy

+12°

Mansel Lacy, Wednesday, 7 October, 17:57

Mainly clear. Feels like 12°C. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind10 mph NW

Humidity73%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Mansel Lacy: daytime temperatures averaging +13.4° and +6.1° overnight — that is 0.2° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 9 days (around 32 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 37 mm. The warmest day should be 14 October (+16.4°), the coolest 21 October (+2.5°).

+13.4°/+6.1°

Average day / night

−0.2°

Below average

9 / 6

Wet days / normal

32 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+14.2°	+14.1°	+0.1°
17 October – 26 October	+12.1°	+12.7°	-0.7°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+11.6°	—

October records over 66 years

+24.9°1 October 2011All-time high

-3.3°19 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Belmont (9.5 km away).

Thu, 08+7 ° /14 °

1.2

+14 °

Mansel Lacy, Thursday, 8 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind12 mph NW

Humidity59%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Fri, 09+10 ° /15 °

1.4

+15 °

Mansel Lacy, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind17 mph SW

Humidity87%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+8 ° /12 °

0.3

+12 °

Mansel Lacy, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind17 mph W

Humidity60%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Sun, 11+6 ° /12 °

+12 °

Mansel Lacy, Sunday, 11 October

Partly cloudy. High 12°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind8 mph W

Humidity63%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Mon, 12+5 ° /16 °

1.1

+16 °

Mansel Lacy, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind12 mph S

Humidity94%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Tue, 13+8 ° /16 °

1.1

+16 °

Mansel Lacy, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind16 mph NW

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Wed, 14+7 ° /16 °

+16 °

Mansel Lacy, Wednesday, 14 October

Clear sky. High 16°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind11 mph SW

Humidity55%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Thu, 15+6 ° /15 °

0.2

+15 °

Mansel Lacy, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind14 mph SW

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Fri, 16+4 ° /12 °

+12 °

Mansel Lacy, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 12°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind5 mph SE

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Sat, 17+6 ° /13 °

0.2

+13 °

Mansel Lacy, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind6 mph SW

Humidity90%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Sun, 18+5 ° /13 °

+13 °

Mansel Lacy, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind21 mph S

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Mon, 19+8 ° /14 °

4.9

+14 °

Mansel Lacy, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure998 mb

Wind21 mph S

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Tue, 20+5 ° /10 °

7.4

+10 °

Mansel Lacy, Tuesday, 20 October

Rain. High 10°C, low 5°C.

Pressure997 mb

Wind16 mph SW

Humidity78%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Wed, 21+2 ° /10 °

3.5

+10 °

Mansel Lacy, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 10°C, low 2°C.

Pressure1006 mb

Wind18 mph W

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Thu, 22+3 ° /11 °

+11 °

Mansel Lacy, Thursday, 22 October

Rain. High 11°C, low 3°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind13 mph S

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+7 ° /13 °

1.9

+13 °

Mansel Lacy, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+17° (2011)

Coldest on record0° (1981)

Sat, 24+7 ° /13 °

2.7

+13 °

Mansel Lacy, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.7 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record-1° (1987)

Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °

2.1

+12 °

Mansel Lacy, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+17° (2013)

Coldest on record-2° (2010)

Mon, 26+7 ° /13 °

2.2

+13 °

Mansel Lacy, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record0° (1997)

Tue, 27+7 ° /13 °

2.4

+13 °

Mansel Lacy, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record-2° (2003)

Wed, 28+7 ° /12 °

2.1

+12 °

Mansel Lacy, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1997)

Thu, 29+6 ° /12 °

1.9

+12 °

Mansel Lacy, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record-3° (2008)

Fri, 30+6 ° /12 °

2.4

+12 °

Mansel Lacy, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+17° (2001)

Coldest on record-2° (1983)

Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °

3.3

+12 °

Mansel Lacy, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-2° (1992)

Sun, 01+6 ° /12 °

2.3

+12 °

Mansel Lacy, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+17° (2020)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °

3.6

+11 °

Mansel Lacy, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.6 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °

1.6

+11 °

Mansel Lacy, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.6 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+15° (1979)

Coldest on record-3° (1985)

Wed, 04+5 ° /11 °

1.9

+11 °

Mansel Lacy, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall1.9 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+15° (1978)

Coldest on record-3° (2006)

Thu, 05+5 ° /11 °

2.2

+11 °

Mansel Lacy, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-1° (1965)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Mansel Lacy are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Mansel Lacy since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.