The month ahead in Bath Vale: daytime temperatures averaging +15.5° and +8.4° overnight — that is 2.3° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 5 days (around 15 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 41 mm. The warmest day should be 17 October (+19.7°), the coolest 22 October (+6.2°).
+15.5°/+8.4°
Average day / night
+2.3°
Above average
5 / 7
Wet days / normal
15 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+15.1°
+13.7°
+1.5°
17 October – 26 October
+16.1°
+12.3°
+3.8°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+11.1°
—
October records over 66 years
+25.4°1 October 2011All-time high
-3.2°29 October 2008All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Congleton (1.7 km away).
Thu, 08+6 ° /14 °0.3
+14 °
Bath Vale, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind8 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Fri, 09+11 ° /15 °6.6
+15 °
Bath Vale, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity91%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point13°C
Sat, 10+9 ° /12 °2
+12 °
Bath Vale, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind17 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+8 ° /13 °2.9
+13 °
Bath Vale, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Mon, 12+7 ° /15 °0.5
+15 °
Bath Vale, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind16 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Tue, 13+12 ° /18 °1.6
+18 °
Bath Vale, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 18°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind16 mph S
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point15°C
Wed, 14+7 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Bath Vale, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1029 mb
Wind7 mph W
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Thu, 15+9 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Bath Vale, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 17°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1028 mb
Wind10 mph SW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Fri, 16+9 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Bath Vale, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 17°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Sat, 17+12 ° /20 °0
+20 °
Bath Vale, Saturday, 17 October
Clear sky. High 20°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1010 mb
Wind17 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Sun, 18+9 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Bath Vale, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 17°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind10 mph E
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Mon, 19+8 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Bath Vale, Monday, 19 October
Clear sky. High 16°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind5 mph NE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Tue, 20+7 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Bath Vale, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1031 mb
Wind4 mph E
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Wed, 21+7 ° /15 °0
+15 °
Bath Vale, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1031 mb
Wind4 mph SE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Thu, 22+6 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Bath Vale, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 14°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1029 mb
Wind9 mph E
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+7 ° /12 °2.2
+12 °
Bath Vale, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+17° (1971)
Coldest on record+0° (1993)
Sat, 24+7 ° /12 °3
+12 °
Bath Vale, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+18° (1995)
Coldest on record-1° (1964)
Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °3.5
+12 °
Bath Vale, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.5 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+16° (2013)
Coldest on record0° (2003)
Mon, 26+7 ° /12 °2.9
+12 °
Bath Vale, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1981)
Tue, 27+7 ° /12 °4.3
+12 °
Bath Vale, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+19° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1962)
Wed, 28+6 ° /12 °3.1
+12 °
Bath Vale, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Thu, 29+6 ° /11 °2.1
+11 °
Bath Vale, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record-3° (2008)
Fri, 30+6 ° /12 °2.6
+12 °
Bath Vale, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+17° (2001)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °3
+12 °
Bath Vale, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1974)
Sun, 01+6 ° /11 °3.2
+11 °
Bath Vale, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.2 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1988)
Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °4.1
+11 °
Bath Vale, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.1 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1986)
Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °3.1
+11 °
Bath Vale, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+16° (1979)
Coldest on record-2° (1985)
Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °2.4
+10 °
Bath Vale, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+15° (1971)
Coldest on record-3° (1965)
Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °2.9
+10 °
Bath Vale, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record-1° (1965)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Bath Vale are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Bath Vale since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.