As of 13:57 BST

Weather in Lower Thurnham

+14°

Lower Thurnham, Wednesday, 7 October, 13:57

Mainly clear. Feels like 13°C. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind13 mph NW

Humidity67%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Lower Thurnham: daytime temperatures averaging +13.2° and +9.4° overnight — that is 0.7° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 11 days (around 100 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 60 mm. The warmest day should be 16 October (+16.3°), the coolest 20 October (+6°).

+13.2°/+9.4°

Average day / night

+0.7°

Above average

11 / 8

Wet days / normal

100 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+14.4°	+12.9°	+1.5°
17 October – 26 October	+11.3°	+11.7°	-0.4°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+10.7°	—

October records over 66 years

+22.4°1 October 1985All-time high

-2.3°30 October 2018All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Heysham (7.9 km away).

Thu, 08+8 ° /12 °

4.8

+12 °

Lower Thurnham, Thursday, 8 October

Rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind7 mph NW

Humidity69%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Fri, 09+12 ° /15 °

18.6

+15 °

Lower Thurnham, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1008 mb

Wind20 mph W

Humidity72%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point9°C

Sat, 10+11 ° /13 °

12.9

+13 °

Lower Thurnham, Saturday, 10 October

Rain. High 13°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind27 mph W

Humidity66%

Visibility5.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Sun, 11+10 ° /13 °

0.6

+13 °

Lower Thurnham, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind9 mph NW

Humidity75%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point8°C

Mon, 12+9 ° /16 °

1.3

+16 °

Lower Thurnham, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind19 mph S

Humidity82%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Tue, 13+12 ° /16 °

3.8

+16 °

Lower Thurnham, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind16 mph S

Humidity92%

Visibility—

Dew point14°C

Wed, 14+9 ° /13 °

+13 °

Lower Thurnham, Wednesday, 14 October

Mainly clear. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind6 mph NE

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Thu, 15+10 ° /16 °

+16 °

Lower Thurnham, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind11 mph S

Humidity85%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Fri, 16+11 ° /16 °

+16 °

Lower Thurnham, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind14 mph SE

Humidity72%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Sat, 17+10 ° /12 °

9.8

+12 °

Lower Thurnham, Saturday, 17 October

Rain. High 12°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1001 mb

Wind19 mph SE

Humidity88%

Visibility—

Dew point10°C

Sun, 18+8 ° /13 °

13.2

+13 °

Lower Thurnham, Sunday, 18 October

Rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1004 mb

Wind24 mph SE

Humidity71%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Mon, 19+9 ° /12 °

5.3

+12 °

Lower Thurnham, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1000 mb

Wind8 mph NE

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Tue, 20+6 ° /10 °

21.6

+10 °

Lower Thurnham, Tuesday, 20 October

Heavy rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1000 mb

Wind12 mph N

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Wed, 21+6 ° /10 °

0.4

+10 °

Lower Thurnham, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1006 mb

Wind17 mph NW

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Thu, 22+9 ° /11 °

+11 °

Lower Thurnham, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 11°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind14 mph W

Humidity87%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+8 ° /12 °

3.6

+12 °

Lower Thurnham, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.6 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+16° (1996)

Coldest on record+1° (1993)

Sat, 24+8 ° /12 °

4.9

+12 °

Lower Thurnham, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.9 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+16° (1995)

Coldest on record+1° (1993)

Sun, 25+8 ° /11 °

5.5

+11 °

Lower Thurnham, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.5 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+15° (2022)

Coldest on record+2° (2010)

Mon, 26+8 ° /11 °

3.6

+11 °

Lower Thurnham, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.6 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1981)

Tue, 27+8 ° /12 °

5.6

+12 °

Lower Thurnham, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.6 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (1962)

Wed, 28+8 ° /11 °

5.9

+11 °

Lower Thurnham, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.9 mm

Chance of rain63%

Warmest on record+16° (2022)

Coldest on record+1° (2019)

Thu, 29+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Lower Thurnham, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (2018)

Fri, 30+7 ° /11 °

4.1

+11 °

Lower Thurnham, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.1 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (2018)

Sat, 31+8 ° /11 °

4.4

+11 °

Lower Thurnham, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.4 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+17° (2014)

Coldest on record+0° (1974)

Sun, 01+7 ° /11 °

5.3

+11 °

Lower Thurnham, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.3 mm

Chance of rain67%

Warmest on record+16° (2014)

Coldest on record+1° (1985)

Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °

6.1

+11 °

Lower Thurnham, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall6.1 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+15° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (1986)

Tue, 03+7 ° /10 °

5.5

+10 °

Lower Thurnham, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5.5 mm

Chance of rain65%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record0° (1985)

Wed, 04+6 ° /10 °

4.1

+10 °

Lower Thurnham, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4.1 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-1° (1968)

Thu, 05+6 ° /10 °

3.8

+10 °

Lower Thurnham, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.8 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+17° (2025)

Coldest on record0° (1984)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Lower Thurnham are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Lower Thurnham since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.