The month ahead in Lower Sapey: daytime temperatures averaging +14.3° and +7.4° overnight — that is 0.4° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 5 days (around 23 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 34 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+19.8°), the coolest 17 October (+2°).
+14.3°/+7.4°
Average day / night
+0.4°
Above average
5 / 6
Wet days / normal
23 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
8 October – 17 October
+14.5°
+14.3°
+0.2°
18 October – 27 October
+14°
+13°
+1°
28 October – 6 November
near average
+11.7°
—
October records over 66 years
+25.9°1 October 2011All-time high
-2.9°17 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Tenbury Wells (13.1 km away).
Fri, 09+10 ° /16 °0.9
+16 °
Lower Sapey, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind17 mph SW
Humidity84%
Visibility5.5 mi
Dew point14°C
Sat, 10+8 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Lower Sapey, Saturday, 10 October
Partly cloudy. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Sun, 11+6 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Lower Sapey, Sunday, 11 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind6 mph W
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Mon, 12+9 ° /16 °0.5
+16 °
Lower Sapey, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind12 mph SE
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point14°C
Tue, 13+12 ° /20 °0.4
+20 °
Lower Sapey, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 20°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind13 mph SW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point16°C
Wed, 14+8 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Lower Sapey, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Thu, 15+5 ° /12 °7.4
+12 °
Lower Sapey, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind20 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Fri, 16+4 ° /13 °0
+13 °
Lower Sapey, Friday, 16 October
Clear sky. High 13°C, low 4°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind11 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Sat, 17+2 ° /12 °0
+12 °
Lower Sapey, Saturday, 17 October
Clear sky. High 12°C, low 2°C.
Pressure1017 mb
Wind8 mph NE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point2°C
Sun, 18+6 ° /10 °2.2
+10 °
Lower Sapey, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1016 mb
Wind11 mph N
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Mon, 19+7 ° /13 °5
+13 °
Lower Sapey, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1025 mb
Wind23 mph NE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Tue, 20+7 ° /14 °0.2
+14 °
Lower Sapey, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind15 mph E
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Wed, 21+10 ° /16 °4.4
+16 °
Lower Sapey, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1017 mb
Wind15 mph SE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Thu, 22+10 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Lower Sapey, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind15 mph E
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Fri, 23+8 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Lower Sapey, Friday, 23 October
Mainly clear. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1019 mb
Wind14 mph E
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 24+7 ° /13 °2.4
+13 °
Lower Sapey, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+18° (1995)
Coldest on record-1° (1987)
Sun, 25+7 ° /13 °1.9
+13 °
Lower Sapey, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+17° (2013)
Coldest on record-2° (2010)
Mon, 26+7 ° /13 °2.2
+13 °
Lower Sapey, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record0° (1997)
Tue, 27+7 ° /13 °2.2
+13 °
Lower Sapey, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain42%
Warmest on record+19° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (2003)
Wed, 28+7 ° /13 °1.9
+13 °
Lower Sapey, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high13°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall1.9 mm
Chance of rain43%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (1997)
Thu, 29+6 ° /12 °1.8
+12 °
Lower Sapey, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.8 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+18° (2022)
Coldest on record-3° (1997)
Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °2.2
+12 °
Lower Sapey, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain35%
Warmest on record+17° (2001)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °3.1
+12 °
Lower Sapey, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+20° (2014)
Coldest on record-2° (2018)
Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °2.1
+12 °
Lower Sapey, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+17° (2020)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Mon, 02+6 ° /12 °3.4
+12 °
Lower Sapey, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.4 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (2006)
Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °1.5
+11 °
Lower Sapey, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.5 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+16° (1979)
Coldest on record-3° (1985)
Wed, 04+5 ° /11 °1.8
+11 °
Lower Sapey, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall1.8 mm
Chance of rain33%
Warmest on record+16° (1978)
Coldest on record-2° (2006)
Thu, 05+5 ° /11 °2.1
+11 °
Lower Sapey, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain32%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record-2° (1965)
Fri, 06+6 ° /11 °1.8
+11 °
Lower Sapey, Friday, 6 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall1.8 mm
Chance of rain33%
Warmest on record+16° (2015)
Coldest on record-1° (1995)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Lower Sapey are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Lower Sapey since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.