As of 01:21 BST

Weather in Lower Race

+14°

Lower Race, Wednesday, 7 October, 01:21

Overcast. Feels like 14°C. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind2 mph NE

Humidity94%

Visibility3.9 mi

Dew point13°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Lower Race: daytime temperatures averaging +13.6° and +8.1° overnight — that is 0° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 8 days (around 88 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 55 mm. The warmest day should be 20 October (+16.4°), the coolest 18 October (+5°).

+13.6°/+8.1°

Average day / night

+0°

Above average

8 / 7

Wet days / normal

88 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+13.4°	+14°	-0.6°
17 October – 26 October	+14°	+12.8°	+1.2°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+11.7°	—

October records over 66 years

+24°1 October 2011All-time high

-2.4°16 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Abercarn (8.1 km away).

Thu, 08+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Lower Race, Thursday, 8 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity62%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Fri, 09+9 ° /14 °

3.6

+14 °

Lower Race, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind19 mph SW

Humidity95%

Visibility2.5 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+8 ° /12 °

+12 °

Lower Race, Saturday, 10 October

Overcast. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind14 mph W

Humidity64%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Sun, 11+5 ° /11 °

+11 °

Lower Race, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 11°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind6 mph W

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Mon, 12+8 ° /14 °

2.9

+14 °

Lower Race, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity97%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Tue, 13+8 ° /15 °

11.7

+15 °

Lower Race, Tuesday, 13 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind19 mph SW

Humidity78%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Wed, 14+7 ° /14 °

0.6

+14 °

Lower Race, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind19 mph SW

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Thu, 15+6 ° /13 °

+13 °

Lower Race, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind21 mph SW

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Fri, 16+10 ° /14 °

54.3

+14 °

Lower Race, Friday, 16 October

Heavy rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1003 mb

Wind28 mph SW

Humidity97%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Sat, 17+6 ° /10 °

+10 °

Lower Race, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1009 mb

Wind21 mph W

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Sun, 18+5 ° /12 °

1.2

+12 °

Lower Race, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind20 mph SW

Humidity83%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Mon, 19+10 ° /15 °

2.7

+15 °

Lower Race, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind22 mph SW

Humidity97%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Tue, 20+12 ° /16 °

0.3

+16 °

Lower Race, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind15 mph SW

Humidity84%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Wed, 21+10 ° /16 °

+16 °

Lower Race, Wednesday, 21 October

Clear sky. High 16°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind5 mph S

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Thu, 22+8 ° /15 °

+15 °

Lower Race, Thursday, 22 October

Clear sky. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1025 mb

Wind4 mph S

Humidity71%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+7 ° /13 °

3.3

+13 °

Lower Race, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.3 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+17° (2011)

Coldest on record+1° (1981)

Sat, 24+8 ° /13 °

4.4

+13 °

Lower Race, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall4.4 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record+0° (1987)

Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °

3.8

+12 °

Lower Race, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.8 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+16° (2013)

Coldest on record-2° (2010)

Mon, 26+7 ° /13 °

3.1

+13 °

Lower Race, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (1997)

Tue, 27+8 ° /13 °

3.7

+13 °

Lower Race, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall3.7 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (1962)

Wed, 28+7 ° /12 °

4.3

+12 °

Lower Race, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.3 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record+0° (2012)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

3.8

+12 °

Lower Race, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.8 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record-2° (2008)

Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °

4.2

+12 °

Lower Race, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.2 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+17° (2001)

Coldest on record-1° (1983)

Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °

5.2

+12 °

Lower Race, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low8°C

Average rainfall5.2 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+19° (2014)

Coldest on record-2° (1992)

Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °

3.9

+12 °

Lower Race, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+16° (2014)

Coldest on record0° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °

+11 °

Lower Race, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall5 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-1° (2006)

Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °

3.1

+11 °

Lower Race, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+15° (2011)

Coldest on record-2° (2006)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

2.6

+11 °

Lower Race, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.6 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+15° (1978)

Coldest on record-3° (2006)

Thu, 05+6 ° /11 °

3.1

+11 °

Lower Race, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+15° (1978)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Lower Race are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Lower Race since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.