The month ahead in Lower Heath: daytime temperatures averaging +13.6° and +7.9° overnight — that is 0.4° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 10 days (around 75 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 41 mm. The warmest day should be 15 October (+17.4°), the coolest 21 October (+4.5°).
+13.6°/+7.9°
Average day / night
+0.4°
Above average
10 / 7
Wet days / normal
75 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+15.2°
+13.7°
+1.5°
17 October – 26 October
+11°
+12.3°
-1.3°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+11.1°
—
October records over 66 years
+25.4°1 October 2011All-time high
-3.2°29 October 2008All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Congleton (1.3 km away).
Thu, 08+7 ° /16 °0.8
+16 °
Lower Heath, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind8 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Fri, 09+10 ° /16 °8.5
+16 °
Lower Heath, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 16°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind16 mph W
Humidity92%
Visibility6.0 mi
Dew point15°C
Sat, 10+9 ° /12 °2.8
+12 °
Lower Heath, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind18 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+9 ° /13 °3.1
+13 °
Lower Heath, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind10 mph W
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Mon, 12+7 ° /15 °0.2
+15 °
Lower Heath, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind16 mph S
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Tue, 13+12 ° /16 °2
+16 °
Lower Heath, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1021 mb
Wind15 mph S
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point14°C
Wed, 14+9 ° /16 °0
+16 °
Lower Heath, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear sky. High 16°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind7 mph SE
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Thu, 15+9 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Lower Heath, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 17°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind9 mph SE
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point12°C
Fri, 16+9 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Lower Heath, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 17°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind15 mph SE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Sat, 17+8 ° /13 °2.9
+13 °
Lower Heath, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1002 mb
Wind15 mph SE
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Sun, 18+6 ° /13 °3.8
+13 °
Lower Heath, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind20 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Mon, 19+7 ° /11 °14.5
+11 °
Lower Heath, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Pressure999 mb
Wind14 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Tue, 20+5 ° /10 °32.3
+10 °
Lower Heath, Tuesday, 20 October
Heavy rain. High 10°C, low 5°C.
Pressure999 mb
Wind18 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Wed, 21+5 ° /10 °0.7
+10 °
Lower Heath, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 5°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind18 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Thu, 22+6 ° /9 °2.3
+9 °
Lower Heath, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 9°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+7 ° /12 °2.2
+12 °
Lower Heath, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.2 mm
Chance of rain38%
Warmest on record+17° (1971)
Coldest on record+0° (1993)
Sat, 24+7 ° /12 °3
+12 °
Lower Heath, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+18° (1995)
Coldest on record-1° (1964)
Sun, 25+7 ° /12 °3.5
+12 °
Lower Heath, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.5 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+16° (2013)
Coldest on record0° (2003)
Mon, 26+7 ° /12 °2.9
+12 °
Lower Heath, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (1981)
Tue, 27+7 ° /12 °4.3
+12 °
Lower Heath, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.3 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+19° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1962)
Wed, 28+6 ° /12 °3.1
+12 °
Lower Heath, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (2008)
Thu, 29+6 ° /11 °2.1
+11 °
Lower Heath, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.1 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record-3° (2008)
Fri, 30+6 ° /12 °2.6
+12 °
Lower Heath, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall2.6 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+17° (2001)
Coldest on record-2° (1988)
Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °3
+12 °
Lower Heath, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+19° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1974)
Sun, 01+6 ° /11 °3.2
+11 °
Lower Heath, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.2 mm
Chance of rain48%
Warmest on record+17° (2014)
Coldest on record-1° (1988)
Mon, 02+6 ° /11 °4.1
+11 °
Lower Heath, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4.1 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record-2° (1986)
Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °3.1
+11 °
Lower Heath, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+16° (1979)
Coldest on record-2° (1985)
Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °2.4
+10 °
Lower Heath, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.4 mm
Chance of rain40%
Warmest on record+15° (1971)
Coldest on record-3° (1965)
Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °2.9
+10 °
Lower Heath, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low5°C
Average rainfall2.9 mm
Chance of rain52%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record-1° (1965)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Lower Heath are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Lower Heath since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.