Lower Grove Common, Wednesday, 7 October, 17:02
Mainly clear. Feels like 12°C. High 14°C, low 9°C.
The month ahead in Lower Grove Common: daytime temperatures averaging +14.3° and +7° overnight — that is 0.7° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 9 days (around 33 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 37 mm. The warmest day should be 12 October (+17.6°), the coolest 21 October (+3.9°).
| Period | Forecast (day) | Average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 October – 16 October | +15.2° | +14° | +1.2° |
| 17 October – 26 October | +12.8° | +12.7° | +0.1° |
| 27 October – 5 November | near average | +11.5° | — |
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Mitcheldean (12.9 km away).
Lower Grove Common, Thursday, 8 October
Light rain. High 14°C, low 8°C.
Lower Grove Common, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 10°C.
Lower Grove Common, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.
Lower Grove Common, Sunday, 11 October
Mainly clear. High 13°C, low 6°C.
Lower Grove Common, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 18°C, low 7°C.
Lower Grove Common, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 9°C.
Lower Grove Common, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear sky. High 17°C, low 7°C.
Lower Grove Common, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 16°C, low 6°C.
Lower Grove Common, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 13°C, low 5°C.
Lower Grove Common, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 7°C.
Lower Grove Common, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 5°C.
Lower Grove Common, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 9°C.
Lower Grove Common, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 6°C.
Lower Grove Common, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 4°C.
Lower Grove Common, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 4°C.
Lower Grove Common, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Lower Grove Common, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Lower Grove Common, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Lower Grove Common, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Lower Grove Common, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Lower Grove Common, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Lower Grove Common, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Lower Grove Common, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Lower Grove Common, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Lower Grove Common, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Lower Grove Common, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Lower Grove Common, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Lower Grove Common, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Lower Grove Common, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Lower Grove Common are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
These are real historical extremes recorded in Lower Grove Common since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.