As of 14:56 BST

Weather in Lower Fold

+13°

Lower Fold, Wednesday, 7 October, 14:56

Mainly clear. Feels like 12°C. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1015 mb

Wind4 mph NW

Humidity79%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point9°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Lower Fold: daytime temperatures averaging +12.7° and +7.5° overnight — that is 0.2° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 10 days (around 86 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 53 mm. The warmest day should be 16 October (+15.9°), the coolest 21 October (+3.7°).

+12.7°/+7.5°

Average day / night

+0.2°

Above average

10 / 8

Wet days / normal

86 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+14.1°	+12.9°	+1.2°
17 October – 26 October	+10.2°	+11.6°	-1.3°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+10.5°	—

October records over 66 years

+23.9°1 October 2011All-time high

-3.7°17 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Church (1.4 km away).

Thu, 08+7 ° /15 °

2.5

+15 °

Lower Fold, Thursday, 8 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind6 mph NW

Humidity71%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point5°C

Fri, 09+9 ° /14 °

20.7

+14 °

Lower Fold, Friday, 9 October

Rain. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind15 mph W

Humidity85%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point11°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /10 °

+10 °

Lower Fold, Saturday, 10 October

Rain. High 10°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1007 mb

Wind18 mph W

Humidity82%

Visibility2.6 mi

Dew point7°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /13 °

0.7

+13 °

Lower Fold, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind9 mph NW

Humidity76%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Mon, 12+7 ° /16 °

0.2

+16 °

Lower Fold, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1010 mb

Wind15 mph S

Humidity87%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Tue, 13+12 ° /15 °

1.7

+15 °

Lower Fold, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind13 mph S

Humidity97%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Wed, 14+7 ° /15 °

+15 °

Lower Fold, Wednesday, 14 October

Clear sky. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1030 mb

Wind4 mph N

Humidity65%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Thu, 15+8 ° /16 °

+16 °

Lower Fold, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1024 mb

Wind10 mph S

Humidity83%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Fri, 16+9 ° /16 °

+16 °

Lower Fold, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 16°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind13 mph SE

Humidity65%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Sat, 17+8 ° /12 °

5.3

+12 °

Lower Fold, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1002 mb

Wind15 mph S

Humidity87%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Sun, 18+6 ° /13 °

4.3

+13 °

Lower Fold, Sunday, 18 October

Light rain. High 13°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1005 mb

Wind18 mph SE

Humidity71%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Mon, 19+7 ° /11 °

5.5

+11 °

Lower Fold, Monday, 19 October

Rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1000 mb

Wind9 mph NW

Humidity75%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Tue, 20+5 ° /8 °

23.5

+8 °

Lower Fold, Tuesday, 20 October

Heavy rain. High 8°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1000 mb

Wind14 mph NW

Humidity78%

Visibility—

Dew point4°C

Wed, 21+4 ° /9 °

4.4

+9 °

Lower Fold, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 9°C, low 4°C.

Pressure1005 mb

Wind17 mph NW

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point3°C

Thu, 22+5 ° /9 °

0.7

+9 °

Lower Fold, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 9°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind9 mph W

Humidity91%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+7 ° /11 °

3.2

+11 °

Lower Fold, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.2 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+17° (1996)

Coldest on record-1° (1993)

Sat, 24+6 ° /12 °

3.9

+12 °

Lower Fold, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.9 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+17° (1995)

Coldest on record-2° (1964)

Sun, 25+7 ° /11 °

4.9

+11 °

Lower Fold, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.9 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+16° (2013)

Coldest on record0° (2003)

Mon, 26+6 ° /11 °

3.7

+11 °

Lower Fold, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.7 mm

Chance of rain58%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (1981)

Tue, 27+7 ° /11 °

4.9

+11 °

Lower Fold, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall4.9 mm

Chance of rain57%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (1962)

Wed, 28+6 ° /11 °

4.9

+11 °

Lower Fold, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4.9 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (2008)

Thu, 29+5 ° /11 °

3.4

+11 °

Lower Fold, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-3° (1997)

Fri, 30+6 ° /11 °

3.1

+11 °

Lower Fold, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-3° (1988)

Sat, 31+6 ° /11 °

3.8

+11 °

Lower Fold, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall3.8 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record-3° (1974)

Sun, 01+6 ° /11 °

4.7

+11 °

Lower Fold, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4.7 mm

Chance of rain60%

Warmest on record+16° (2014)

Coldest on record-1° (1988)

Mon, 02+6 ° /10 °

5.1

+10 °

Lower Fold, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall5.1 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (1986)

Tue, 03+6 ° /10 °

4.3

+10 °

Lower Fold, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall4.3 mm

Chance of rain62%

Warmest on record+15° (1979)

Coldest on record-3° (1985)

Wed, 04+5 ° /10 °

3.1

+10 °

Lower Fold, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain52%

Warmest on record+14° (2010)

Coldest on record-3° (1965)

Thu, 05+5 ° /10 °

3.6

+10 °

Lower Fold, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high10°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall3.6 mm

Chance of rain55%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1968)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Lower Fold are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Lower Fold since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.