As of 22:50 BST

Weather in Lower Blagdon

+10°

Lower Blagdon, Wednesday, 7 October, 22:50

Mainly clear. Feels like 9°C. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1020 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity78%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Lower Blagdon: daytime temperatures averaging +15.3° and +10.1° overnight — that is 0.7° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 6 days (around 39 mm), against a normal of 7 days and 47 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+18.5°), the coolest 18 October (+7.7°).

+15.3°/+10.1°

Average day / night

+0.7°

Above average

6 / 7

Wet days / normal

39 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+15.7°	+14.9°	+0.8°
17 October – 26 October	+14.6°	+13.9°	+0.7°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+12.9°	—

October records over 66 years

+22.2°8 October 2023All-time high

+0.3°30 October 2018All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Paignton (3 km away).

Thu, 08+10 ° /14 °

+14 °

Lower Blagdon, Thursday, 8 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1026 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity65%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point7°C

Fri, 09+12 ° /17 °

+17 °

Lower Blagdon, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind20 mph SW

Humidity85%

Visibility5.0 mi

Dew point15°C

Sat, 10+10 ° /15 °

+15 °

Lower Blagdon, Saturday, 10 October

Partly cloudy. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind14 mph W

Humidity69%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point9°C

Sun, 11+8 ° /15 °

+15 °

Lower Blagdon, Sunday, 11 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1016 mb

Wind5 mph W

Humidity73%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point9°C

Mon, 12+11 ° /17 °

4.7

+17 °

Lower Blagdon, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1017 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity90%

Visibility—

Dew point14°C

Tue, 13+11 ° /18 °

2.9

+18 °

Lower Blagdon, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 18°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind15 mph W

Humidity81%

Visibility—

Dew point15°C

Wed, 14+10 ° /16 °

+16 °

Lower Blagdon, Wednesday, 14 October

Partly cloudy. High 16°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1027 mb

Wind8 mph SW

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point9°C

Thu, 15+10 ° /16 °

0.4

+16 °

Lower Blagdon, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind18 mph SW

Humidity79%

Visibility—

Dew point12°C

Fri, 16+9 ° /13 °

+13 °

Lower Blagdon, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind9 mph N

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Sat, 17+10 ° /15 °

14.9

+15 °

Lower Blagdon, Saturday, 17 October

Rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind26 mph SW

Humidity65%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Sun, 18+8 ° /13 °

+13 °

Lower Blagdon, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 13°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1029 mb

Wind11 mph NW

Humidity51%

Visibility—

Dew point2°C

Mon, 19+12 ° /16 °

+16 °

Lower Blagdon, Monday, 19 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 12°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind28 mph SW

Humidity93%

Visibility—

Dew point14°C

Tue, 20+14 ° /17 °

+17 °

Lower Blagdon, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 17°C, low 14°C.

Pressure1018 mb

Wind23 mph W

Humidity86%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Wed, 21+10 ° /15 °

+15 °

Lower Blagdon, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 15°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind21 mph W

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Thu, 22+8 ° /12 °

0.9

+12 °

Lower Blagdon, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 12°C, low 8°C.

Pressure999 mb

Wind24 mph W

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+10 ° /14 °

+14 °

Lower Blagdon, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low10°C

Average rainfall3 mm

Chance of rain45%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record+5° (2018)

Sat, 24+10 ° /14 °

3.6

+14 °

Lower Blagdon, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low10°C

Average rainfall3.6 mm

Chance of rain48%

Warmest on record+18° (2018)

Coldest on record+4° (1964)

Sun, 25+10 ° /14 °

2.4

+14 °

Lower Blagdon, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low10°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+17° (2006)

Coldest on record+4° (2003)

Mon, 26+10 ° /14 °

1.7

+14 °

Lower Blagdon, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low10°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain42%

Warmest on record+18° (2005)

Coldest on record+6° (2012)

Tue, 27+10 ° /14 °

3.4

+14 °

Lower Blagdon, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high14°C

Average low10°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+3° (1962)

Wed, 28+10 ° /13 °

3.1

+13 °

Lower Blagdon, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low10°C

Average rainfall3.1 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+17° (2022)

Coldest on record+4° (2018)

Thu, 29+10 ° /13 °

2.9

+13 °

Lower Blagdon, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low10°C

Average rainfall2.9 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+19° (2022)

Coldest on record+2° (2018)

Fri, 30+10 ° /13 °

3.6

+13 °

Lower Blagdon, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low10°C

Average rainfall3.6 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record+0° (2018)

Sat, 31+10 ° /13 °

4.2

+13 °

Lower Blagdon, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low10°C

Average rainfall4.2 mm

Chance of rain53%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record+2° (2018)

Sun, 01+10 ° /13 °

2.4

+13 °

Lower Blagdon, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low10°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain43%

Warmest on record+17° (1999)

Coldest on record+4° (2008)

Mon, 02+9 ° /13 °

+13 °

Lower Blagdon, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall4 mm

Chance of rain50%

Warmest on record+16° (2005)

Coldest on record+1° (2018)

Tue, 03+9 ° /12 °

2.2

+12 °

Lower Blagdon, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall2.2 mm

Chance of rain47%

Warmest on record+16° (1969)

Coldest on record+3° (1966)

Wed, 04+9 ° /12 °

2.4

+12 °

Lower Blagdon, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record+3° (1966)

Thu, 05+9 ° /12 °

1.8

+12 °

Lower Blagdon, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low9°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain28%

Warmest on record+17° (2025)

Coldest on record+3° (2006)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Lower Blagdon are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Lower Blagdon since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.