The month ahead in Lower Ballam: daytime temperatures averaging +13.8° and +9.6° overnight — that is 0.6° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 12 days (around 77 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 53 mm. The warmest day should be 16 October (+17°), the coolest 8 October (+7.3°).
+13.8°/+9.6°
Average day / night
+0.6°
Above average
12 / 8
Wet days / normal
77 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+15.1°
+13.6°
+1.5°
17 October – 26 October
+11.6°
+12.4°
-0.8°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+11.4°
—
October records over 66 years
+22.6°1 October 2011All-time high
-2.6°30 October 2018All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Kirkham (6.2 km away).
Thu, 08+7 ° /16 °2.5
+16 °
Lower Ballam, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 16°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Fri, 09+13 ° /15 °13.1
+15 °
Lower Ballam, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind19 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point10°C
Sat, 10+12 ° /13 °9.2
+13 °
Lower Ballam, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1008 mb
Wind26 mph W
Humidity66%
Visibility4.5 mi
Dew point6°C
Sun, 11+12 ° /13 °2.6
+13 °
Lower Ballam, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility5.6 mi
Dew point8°C
Mon, 12+9 ° /16 °1
+16 °
Lower Ballam, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 16°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind17 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Tue, 13+13 ° /17 °2.3
+17 °
Lower Ballam, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 17°C, low 13°C.
Pressure1020 mb
Wind16 mph S
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point14°C
Wed, 14+9 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Lower Ballam, Wednesday, 14 October
Mainly clear. High 14°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1030 mb
Wind9 mph N
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Thu, 15+9 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Lower Ballam, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 17°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1024 mb
Wind14 mph SE
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point11°C
Fri, 16+11 ° /17 °0
+17 °
Lower Ballam, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 17°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind16 mph SE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Sat, 17+10 ° /13 °8.1
+13 °
Lower Ballam, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1001 mb
Wind18 mph SE
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Sun, 18+8 ° /13 °11.6
+13 °
Lower Ballam, Sunday, 18 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1004 mb
Wind21 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point6°C
Mon, 19+9 ° /12 °2.6
+12 °
Lower Ballam, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1000 mb
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Tue, 20+7 ° /10 °18.9
+10 °
Lower Ballam, Tuesday, 20 October
Rain. High 10°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1000 mb
Wind14 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Wed, 21+8 ° /10 °0
+10 °
Lower Ballam, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 10°C, low 8°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind21 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Thu, 22+9 ° /12 °1.4
+12 °
Lower Ballam, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1014 mb
Wind16 mph NW
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+9 ° /12 °3.6
+12 °
Lower Ballam, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3.6 mm
Chance of rain47%
Warmest on record+16° (1996)
Coldest on record+2° (1993)
Sat, 24+9 ° /12 °4.4
+12 °
Lower Ballam, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall4.4 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+17° (1995)
Coldest on record+2° (1993)
Sun, 25+9 ° /12 °5
+12 °
Lower Ballam, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+17° (2024)
Coldest on record+3° (2010)
Mon, 26+9 ° /12 °3.7
+12 °
Lower Ballam, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall3.7 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (1962)
Tue, 27+9 ° /12 °5.1
+12 °
Lower Ballam, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low9°C
Average rainfall5.1 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+18° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (1962)
Wed, 28+8 ° /12 °5
+12 °
Lower Ballam, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall5 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (2019)
Thu, 29+7 ° /11 °3.6
+11 °
Lower Ballam, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.6 mm
Chance of rain50%
Warmest on record+17° (2022)
Coldest on record-2° (2018)
Fri, 30+8 ° /12 °3.3
+12 °
Lower Ballam, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall3.3 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record-3° (2018)
Sat, 31+8 ° /12 °4.2
+12 °
Lower Ballam, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.2 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+18° (2014)
Coldest on record+2° (1974)
Sun, 01+8 ° /11 °5
+11 °
Lower Ballam, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall5 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record+2° (1988)
Mon, 02+8 ° /11 °5.3
+11 °
Lower Ballam, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall5.3 mm
Chance of rain60%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (1986)
Tue, 03+7 ° /11 °4.8
+11 °
Lower Ballam, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.8 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+15° (2011)
Coldest on record+1° (1985)
Wed, 04+7 ° /11 °3.6
+11 °
Lower Ballam, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.6 mm
Chance of rain45%
Warmest on record+16° (2025)
Coldest on record+0° (1968)
Thu, 05+7 ° /11 °3.9
+11 °
Lower Ballam, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall3.9 mm
Chance of rain53%
Warmest on record+17° (2025)
Coldest on record+2° (1984)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Lower Ballam are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Lower Ballam since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.