As of 08:37 BST

Weather in Lower Arncott

+13°

Lower Arncott, Wednesday, 7 October, 08:37

Light rain. Feels like 13°C. High 15°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1013 mb

Wind10 mph NW

Humidity98%

Visibility1.6 mi

Dew point13°C

Detailed hourly forecast

The month ahead in Lower Arncott: daytime temperatures averaging +16.4° and +8.6° overnight — that is 2.3° above the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 4 days (around 21 mm), against a normal of 6 days and 33 mm. The warmest day should be 17 October (+20.6°), the coolest 12 October (+4.6°).

+16.4°/+8.6°

Average day / night

+2.3°

Above average

4 / 6

Wet days / normal

21 mm

Rainfall this month

Ten-day blocks against the climate average

Period	Forecast (day)	Average	Difference
7 October – 16 October	+16.2°	+14.5°	+1.6°
17 October – 26 October	+16.7°	+13.2°	+3.6°
27 October – 5 November	near average	+11.9°	—

October records over 66 years

+26°1 October 2011All-time high

-2.8°16 October 1993All-time low

Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Bicester (5 km away).

Thu, 08+6 ° /15 °

+15 °

Lower Arncott, Thursday, 8 October

Clear sky. High 15°C, low 6°C.

Pressure1023 mb

Wind12 mph NW

Humidity53%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point3°C

Fri, 09+10 ° /17 °

1.4

+17 °

Lower Arncott, Friday, 9 October

Light rain. High 17°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1011 mb

Wind19 mph SW

Humidity81%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point14°C

Sat, 10+9 ° /14 °

+14 °

Lower Arncott, Saturday, 10 October

Partly cloudy. High 14°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind14 mph W

Humidity59%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point6°C

Sun, 11+7 ° /15 °

+15 °

Lower Arncott, Sunday, 11 October

Clear sky. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1014 mb

Wind9 mph W

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Mon, 12+5 ° /16 °

1.2

+16 °

Lower Arncott, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 5°C.

Pressure1019 mb

Wind12 mph S

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Tue, 13+13 ° /15 °

2.8

+15 °

Lower Arncott, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 15°C, low 13°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind15 mph S

Humidity88%

Visibility—

Dew point13°C

Wed, 14+10 ° /16 °

0.1

+16 °

Lower Arncott, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 16°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1029 mb

Wind10 mph N

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point6°C

Thu, 15+9 ° /18 °

+18 °

Lower Arncott, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 18°C, low 9°C.

Pressure1029 mb

Wind8 mph SW

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Fri, 16+10 ° /20 °

+20 °

Lower Arncott, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 20°C, low 10°C.

Pressure1022 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity65%

Visibility—

Dew point11°C

Sat, 17+11 ° /21 °

+21 °

Lower Arncott, Saturday, 17 October

Partly cloudy. High 21°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind14 mph S

Humidity44%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Sun, 18+11 ° /18 °

+18 °

Lower Arncott, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 18°C, low 11°C.

Pressure1012 mb

Wind9 mph NE

Humidity51%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Mon, 19+8 ° /17 °

+17 °

Lower Arncott, Monday, 19 October

Clear sky. High 17°C, low 8°C.

Pressure1021 mb

Wind8 mph NE

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point8°C

Tue, 20+7 ° /15 °

+15 °

Lower Arncott, Tuesday, 20 October

Partly cloudy. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind8 mph NE

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Wed, 21+7 ° /14 °

+14 °

Lower Arncott, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 14°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1031 mb

Wind7 mph NE

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point5°C

Thu, 22+7 ° /15 °

+15 °

Lower Arncott, Thursday, 22 October

Partly cloudy. High 15°C, low 7°C.

Pressure1028 mb

Wind11 mph E

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point7°C

Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics

Fri, 23+7 ° /13 °

1.6

+13 °

Lower Arncott, Friday, 23 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.6 mm

Chance of rain23%

Warmest on record+18° (2011)

Coldest on record+2° (1981)

Sat, 24+7 ° /13 °

2.3

+13 °

Lower Arncott, Saturday, 24 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.3 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+18° (2017)

Coldest on record-1° (1964)

Sun, 25+7 ° /13 °

1.3

+13 °

Lower Arncott, Sunday, 25 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+17° (2013)

Coldest on record-1° (1987)

Mon, 26+7 ° /13 °

1.4

+13 °

Lower Arncott, Monday, 26 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.4 mm

Chance of rain27%

Warmest on record+18° (2022)

Coldest on record-1° (1997)

Tue, 27+7 ° /13 °

1.7

+13 °

Lower Arncott, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+19° (2005)

Coldest on record-2° (1962)

Wed, 28+7 ° /13 °

+13 °

Lower Arncott, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high13°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain38%

Warmest on record+18° (2014)

Coldest on record+1° (1997)

Thu, 29+7 ° /12 °

1.3

+12 °

Lower Arncott, Thursday, 29 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.3 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+20° (2022)

Coldest on record-3° (1997)

Fri, 30+7 ° /12 °

1.8

+12 °

Lower Arncott, Friday, 30 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall1.8 mm

Chance of rain32%

Warmest on record+19° (2001)

Coldest on record-2° (1997)

Sat, 31+7 ° /12 °

2.4

+12 °

Lower Arncott, Saturday, 31 October

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2.4 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+20° (2014)

Coldest on record-2° (2018)

Sun, 01+7 ° /12 °

+12 °

Lower Arncott, Sunday, 1 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall2 mm

Chance of rain40%

Warmest on record+17° (1999)

Coldest on record-2° (1988)

Mon, 02+7 ° /12 °

3.4

+12 °

Lower Arncott, Monday, 2 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high12°C

Average low7°C

Average rainfall3.4 mm

Chance of rain35%

Warmest on record+17° (2005)

Coldest on record0° (1985)

Tue, 03+6 ° /11 °

1.5

+11 °

Lower Arncott, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall1.5 mm

Chance of rain33%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1985)

Wed, 04+6 ° /11 °

2.1

+11 °

Lower Arncott, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low6°C

Average rainfall2.1 mm

Chance of rain37%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-3° (1966)

Thu, 05+5 ° /11 °

1.7

+11 °

Lower Arncott, Thursday, 5 November

Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.

Average high11°C

Average low5°C

Average rainfall1.7 mm

Chance of rain30%

Warmest on record+16° (2025)

Coldest on record-2° (1988)

Questions about the month ahead

How accurate is a month-long forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Lower Arncott are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above average" mean?

We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

These are real historical extremes recorded in Lower Arncott since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is the 30-day forecast updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.