The month ahead in Loch Head: daytime temperatures averaging +12.3° and +8.8° overnight — that is 0.2° below the climate average for October. Rain is expected on 10 days (around 66 mm), against a normal of 8 days and 64 mm. The warmest day should be 13 October (+15°), the coolest 8 October (+5.7°).
+12.3°/+8.8°
Average day / night
−0.2°
Below average
10 / 8
Wet days / normal
66 mm
Rainfall this month
Ten-day blocks against the climate average
Period
Forecast (day)
Average
Difference
7 October – 16 October
+13.1°
+12.9°
+0.2°
17 October – 26 October
+11°
+11.8°
-0.8°
27 October – 5 November
near average
+10.8°
—
October records over 66 years
+19.5°3 October 1973All-time high
-1.1°17 October 1993All-time low
Climate averages and records are calculated from the nearest reference point — Newton Stewart (19 km away).
Thu, 08+6 ° /12 °14.7
+12 °
Loch Head, Thursday, 8 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1022 mb
Wind9 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point5°C
Fri, 09+11 ° /13 °6.6
+13 °
Loch Head, Friday, 9 October
Rain. High 13°C, low 11°C.
Pressure1005 mb
Wind21 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point8°C
Sat, 10+9 ° /11 °6.6
+11 °
Loch Head, Saturday, 10 October
Rain. High 11°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind22 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point7°C
Sun, 11+9 ° /13 °0.1
+13 °
Loch Head, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 13°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1012 mb
Wind7 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point6°C
Mon, 12+10 ° /15 °4.5
+15 °
Loch Head, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 15°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1006 mb
Wind19 mph SE
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point13°C
Tue, 13+12 ° /15 °6.9
+15 °
Loch Head, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 15°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1018 mb
Wind22 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point9°C
Wed, 14+12 ° /14 °0
+14 °
Loch Head, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 14°C, low 12°C.
Pressure1026 mb
Wind24 mph S
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point10°C
Thu, 15+10 ° /14 °5.3
+14 °
Loch Head, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 14°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1015 mb
Wind33 mph SW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Fri, 16+10 ° /12 °0.4
+12 °
Loch Head, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 10°C.
Pressure1023 mb
Wind22 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point7°C
Sat, 17+9 ° /12 °4.1
+12 °
Loch Head, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind27 mph SW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point5°C
Sun, 18+9 ° /12 °14.3
+12 °
Loch Head, Sunday, 18 October
Rain. High 12°C, low 9°C.
Pressure1002 mb
Wind29 mph SE
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Mon, 19+7 ° /10 °0
+10 °
Loch Head, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 10°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1000 mb
Wind11 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Tue, 20+6 ° /10 °0.2
+10 °
Loch Head, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 10°C, low 6°C.
Pressure1001 mb
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point4°C
Wed, 21+7 ° /10 °0
+10 °
Loch Head, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear sky. High 10°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1009 mb
Wind20 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point3°C
Thu, 22+7 ° /11 °1.1
+11 °
Loch Head, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 11°C, low 7°C.
Pressure1013 mb
Wind19 mph NW
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point8°C
Days 17 onward are based on 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 23+8 ° /12 °4.7
+12 °
Loch Head, Friday, 23 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.7 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+16° (2011)
Coldest on record+3° (1993)
Sat, 24+8 ° /12 °6.1
+12 °
Loch Head, Saturday, 24 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall6.1 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+15° (2005)
Coldest on record+3° (1997)
Sun, 25+8 ° /12 °4.5
+12 °
Loch Head, Sunday, 25 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.5 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+17° (2024)
Coldest on record+0° (1993)
Mon, 26+8 ° /11 °4.7
+11 °
Loch Head, Monday, 26 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall4.7 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (1962)
Tue, 27+8 ° /12 °5.1
+12 °
Loch Head, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high12°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall5.1 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+17° (2005)
Coldest on record+2° (1962)
Wed, 28+8 ° /11 °5.2
+11 °
Loch Head, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low8°C
Average rainfall5.2 mm
Chance of rain62%
Warmest on record+16° (2005)
Coldest on record+1° (2018)
Thu, 29+7 ° /11 °4.6
+11 °
Loch Head, Thursday, 29 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.6 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+15° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2018)
Fri, 30+7 ° /11 °4.6
+11 °
Loch Head, Friday, 30 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.6 mm
Chance of rain58%
Warmest on record+15° (2005)
Coldest on record-1° (2018)
Sat, 31+7 ° /11 °6.1
+11 °
Loch Head, Saturday, 31 October
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall6.1 mm
Chance of rain68%
Warmest on record+16° (2014)
Coldest on record0° (1988)
Sun, 01+7 ° /11 °5.4
+11 °
Loch Head, Sunday, 1 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall5.4 mm
Chance of rain63%
Warmest on record+15° (2007)
Coldest on record+1° (1985)
Mon, 02+7 ° /11 °4.4
+11 °
Loch Head, Monday, 2 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high11°C
Average low7°C
Average rainfall4.4 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+15° (1971)
Coldest on record0° (1986)
Tue, 03+6 ° /10 °5.2
+10 °
Loch Head, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall5.2 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+15° (1979)
Coldest on record-1° (1966)
Wed, 04+6 ° /10 °3.1
+10 °
Loch Head, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall3.1 mm
Chance of rain55%
Warmest on record+14° (2010)
Coldest on record-1° (1968)
Thu, 05+6 ° /10 °4
+10 °
Loch Head, Thursday, 5 November
Climate average for this date — the mean of the last 60 years.
Average high10°C
Average low6°C
Average rainfall4 mm
Chance of rain57%
Warmest on record+14° (2025)
Coldest on record-1° (1984)
Questions about the month ahead
How accurate is a month-long forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — highly reliable for the first 3–5 days, gradually less so after that. Days 17 to 30 for Loch Head are built from climate averages over the last 60 years, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above average" mean?
We compare the forecast with the climate average for exactly the same calendar days, calculated from 60 years of observations. The difference shows how the coming month compares with a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
These are real historical extremes recorded in Loch Head since 1960: the highest and lowest temperature for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is the 30-day forecast updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour. The climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.